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Hässleholms IF v Skövde AIK
Hässleholms IF
Skövde AIKEttan - Södra · SAT 24 OCT · Osteras IP
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Hässleholms IF win at 64%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Hässleholms IF 64% before kick-off, 64% now. 0–0 · 64–20–16
- 1′KICK-OFF Hässleholms IF v Skövde AIK
- 35′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Skövde AIK
- 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Hässleholms IF win: 64% at kick-off, 54% now
- 36′🟨 YELLOW · 4' L. Svensson · Skövde AIK
- 40′We said Hässleholms IF at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 52%. 0–0 · 52–31–17
- 45′HALF-TIME Hässleholms IF 0–0 Skövde AIK
- 46′We said Hässleholms IF at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–34–16
- 53′SECOND HALF Hässleholms IF 0–0 Skövde AIK
- 55′We said Hässleholms IF at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–40–16
- 55′A goal for Skövde AIK on 55′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 16–29–56
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Hässleholms IF win: 64% at kick-off, 44% now
- 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Hässleholms IF 0–1 Skövde AIK
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Hässleholms IF win: 64% at kick-off, 16% now
- 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Skövde AIK win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Hässleholms IF win 44%)
- 56′We said Hässleholms IF at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 15%. 0–1 · 15–29–56
- 57′A. Nygaard scores for Skövde AIK on 53′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 14–29–57
- 57′We said Hässleholms IF at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–29–57
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Hässleholms IF win: 64% at kick-off, 14% now
- 57′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Hässleholms IF
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Hässleholms IF · On: A. Ahlstrand · Off: L. Braun
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Skövde AIK · On: S. Johnson · Off: E. Nordstrom
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Hässleholms IF · On: A. Hall · Off: A. Romberg
- 66′We said Hässleholms IF at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–27–64
- 69′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Skövde AIK
- 75′We said Hässleholms IF at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–22–74
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Hässleholms IF win: 64% at kick-off, 4% now
- 82′Hässleholms IF score on 82′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 16–77–7
- 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Hässleholms IF 1–1 Skövde AIK
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Hässleholms IF win: 64% at kick-off, 16% now
- 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Draw is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Skövde AIK win 82%)
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Skövde AIK · On: M. Agerborn · Off: A. Nygaard
- 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Skövde AIK
- 93′Hässleholms IF are down to ten from 90′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–1 · 3–95–2
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Hässleholms IF win: 64% at kick-off, 3% now
- 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Hässleholms IF
- 93′🟥 RED CARD · 90+3' Hässleholms IF
- FTFULL TIME Hässleholms IF 1–1 Skövde AIK
- FTHässleholms IF 1–1 Skövde AIK · Hässleholms IF win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Hässleholms IF are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Hässleholms IF 64%, draw 20%, Skövde AIK 16%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 54%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Hässleholms IF win64%
Skövde AIK win16%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00
RoundSödra · matchday 28
VenueOsteras IP
Match timeline
All events
Hässleholms IFMIN
Skövde AIKEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Hässleholms IF
Skövde AIK
Last match: 17 Oct · Ettan - Södra
Last match: 17 Oct · Ettan - Södra
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Hässleholms IF a 64% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 58% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hässleholms IF win | 64% | 58% | +6 |
| Draw | 20% | 23% | −3 |
| Skövde AIK win | 16% | 19% | −3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 57% | +3 |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 57% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 78% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 36% | +2 |
| Hässleholms IF or draw | 84% | 81% | +3 |
| Hässleholms IF clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
| Skövde AIK clean sheet | 12% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Ettan - Södra this season · since 16 Sept
HÄSSLEHOLMS IF
SKÖVDE AIK
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trelleborg | 27 | +31 | 60 |
| 2 | Hässleholms IF | 27 | +18 | 51 |
| 3 | Atvidabergs FF | 27 | +13 | 47 |
| 4 | Lund | 27 | +16 | 44 |
| 5 | AFC Malmo | 27 | +11 | 44 |
| 6 | Rosengård | 27 | +4 | 40 |
| 7 | Trollhättan | 27 | +2 | 38 |
| 8 | Tvååker | 28 | −3 | 38 |
| 9 | Jonkopings Sodra | 27 | +3 | 36 |
| 10 | Olympic | 27 | +1 | 36 |
| 11 | Skövde AIK | 27 | −9 | 34 |
| 12 | Eskilsminne | 27 | −9 | 33 |
| 13 | Kristianstad | 27 | −8 | 30 |
| 14 | Laholm | 27 | −10 | 29 |
| 15 | Angelholms FF | 27 | −15 | 24 |
| 16 | Utsikten | 28 | −45 | 12 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Trelleborg
Atvidabergs FF
Lund
AFC Malmo
Rosengård
Trollhättan
Tvååker
Jonkopings Sodra
Olympic
Eskilsminne
Kristianstad
Laholm
Angelholms FF
Utsikten