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Hässleholms IF v Skövde AIK

Hässleholms IF
1–1Full time
Skövde AIK

Ettan - Södra · SAT 24 OCT · Osteras IP

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08
Hässleholms IF 1–1 Skövde AIK HÄSSLEHOLMS IF WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Hässleholms IF win64%
The market said58%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.083
The market’s Brier score0.957

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 26 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Hässleholms IF win at 64%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Hässleholms IF 64% before kick-off, 64% now. 0–0 · 64–20–16
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Hässleholms IF v Skövde AIK
  4. 35′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Skövde AIK
  5. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Hässleholms IF win: 64% at kick-off, 54% now
  6. 36′🟨 YELLOW · 4' L. Svensson · Skövde AIK
  7. 40′We said Hässleholms IF at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 52%. 0–0 · 52–31–17
  8. 45′HALF-TIME Hässleholms IF 0–0 Skövde AIK
  9. 46′We said Hässleholms IF at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–34–16
  10. 53′SECOND HALF Hässleholms IF 0–0 Skövde AIK
  11. 55′We said Hässleholms IF at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–40–16
  12. 55′A goal for Skövde AIK on 55′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 16–29–56
  13. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Hässleholms IF win: 64% at kick-off, 44% now
  14. 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Hässleholms IF 0–1 Skövde AIK
  15. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Hässleholms IF win: 64% at kick-off, 16% now
  16. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Skövde AIK win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Hässleholms IF win 44%)
  17. 56′We said Hässleholms IF at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 15%. 0–1 · 15–29–56
  18. 57′A. Nygaard scores for Skövde AIK on 53′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 14–29–57
  19. 57′We said Hässleholms IF at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–29–57
  20. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Hässleholms IF win: 64% at kick-off, 14% now
  21. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Hässleholms IF
  22. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Hässleholms IF · On: A. Ahlstrand · Off: L. Braun
  23. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Skövde AIK · On: S. Johnson · Off: E. Nordstrom
  24. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Hässleholms IF · On: A. Hall · Off: A. Romberg
  25. 66′We said Hässleholms IF at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–27–64
  26. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Skövde AIK
  27. 75′We said Hässleholms IF at 64%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–22–74
  28. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Hässleholms IF win: 64% at kick-off, 4% now
  29. 82′Hässleholms IF score on 82′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 16–77–7
  30. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Hässleholms IF 1–1 Skövde AIK
  31. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Hässleholms IF win: 64% at kick-off, 16% now
  32. 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Draw is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Skövde AIK win 82%)
  33. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Skövde AIK · On: M. Agerborn · Off: A. Nygaard
  34. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Skövde AIK
  35. 93′Hässleholms IF are down to ten from 90′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–1 · 3–95–2
  36. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Hässleholms IF win: 64% at kick-off, 3% now
  37. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Hässleholms IF
  38. 93′🟥 RED CARD · 90+3' Hässleholms IF
  39. FTFULL TIME Hässleholms IF 1–1 Skövde AIK
  40. FTHässleholms IF 1–1 Skövde AIK · Hässleholms IF win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Hässleholms IF are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Hässleholms IF 64%, draw 20%, Skövde AIK 16%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Hässleholms IF v Skövde AIKBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Hässleholms IF win64%
Draw20%
Skövde AIK win16%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundSödra · matchday 28

VenueOsteras IP

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Hässleholms IF

Skövde AIK

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Ettan - Södra

Last match: 17 Oct · Ettan - Södra

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Hässleholms IF27+1851
11Skövde AIK27−934

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · hässleholms if winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
64% The market58%
Us64%
Market58%

We make Hässleholms IF a 64% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Hässleholms IF v Skövde AIK2.15 – 0.96
Form · last six in Ettan - Södra this season · since 16 SeptW4 D0 L2 · W2 D1 L3
Table places · points 51 v 342 v 11
The market · Hässleholms IF win58% · ours 64%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60%65%70% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 14:29
Our probability · Hässleholms IF win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 58% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Hässleholms IF win64%58%+6
Draw20%23%−3
Skövde AIK win16%19%−3
Over 2.5 goals60%57%+3
Both teams to score54%57%−3
Over 1.5 goals81%78%+3
Over 3.5 goals38%36%+2
Hässleholms IF or draw84%81%+3
Hässleholms IF clean sheet39%––
Skövde AIK clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.2%
0123450 4.7 4.4 2.1 1 9.7 9.1 4.4 2 10.2 9.6 4.6 3 7.3 6.8 3.3 4 4.0 3.7 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Hässleholms IF down, Skövde AIK across0–5 goals a side shown (97.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.52 of 3
Both scored2 of 3
Last meetingsSKO 2–2 HAS · SKO 0–1 HAS · HAS 3–1 SKO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ettan - Södra this season · since 16 Sept

HÄSSLEHOLMS IF

WLLWWW2–0 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 2–1

SKÖVDE AIK

LLWWLD1–3 · 2–3 · 2–1 · 3–2 · 2–4 · 2–2

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Trelleborg27+3160
2Hässleholms IF27+1851
3Atvidabergs FF27+1347
4Lund27+1644
5AFC Malmo27+1144
6Rosengård27+440
7Trollhättan27+238
8Tvååker28−338
9Jonkopings Sodra27+336
10Olympic27+136
11Skövde AIK27−934
12Eskilsminne27−933
13Kristianstad27−830
14Laholm27−1029
15Angelholms FF27−1524
16Utsikten28−4512

The competition's standings before kick-off.