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Atvidabergs FF v Hässleholms IF

Atvidabergs FF
1–2Full time
Hässleholms IF

Ettan - Södra · SAT 17 OCT · Kopparvallen

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10
Atvidabergs FF 1–2 Hässleholms IF HÄSSLEHOLMS IF WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Hässleholms IF win40%
The market said23%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.552
The market’s Brier score0.917

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 31 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Hässleholms IF win at 40%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Hässleholms IF was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 40% now. 0–0 · 36–24–40
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Atvidabergs FF v Hässleholms IF
  4. 8′Much as we predicted: Hässleholms IF was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 35–26–39
  5. 12′SUBSTITUTION · 6' Hässleholms IF · On: A. Ahlstrand · Off: T. Ekstrom
  6. 39′🟨 YELLOW · 39' Atvidabergs FF
  7. 40′🟨 YELLOW · 39' Hässleholms IF
  8. 43′🟨 YELLOW · 39' A. Andersson · Hässleholms IF
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Atvidabergs FF 0–0 Hässleholms IF
  10. 46′A goal for Atvidabergs FF on 46′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 68–22–10
  11. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Hässleholms IF win 32%)
  12. 46′SECOND HALF Atvidabergs FF 0–0 Hässleholms IF
  13. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Atvidabergs FF 1–0 Hässleholms IF
  14. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Hässleholms IF win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
  15. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Atvidabergs FF win is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Draw 22%)
  16. 47′We said Hässleholms IF at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 10%. 1–0 · 68–22–10
  17. 49′We said Hässleholms IF at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 68–22–9
  18. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Hässleholms IF · On: B. Catala · Off: A. Terzic
  19. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+8' Hässleholms IF win: 40% at kick-off, 30% now
  20. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Atvidabergs FF
  21. 67′We said Hässleholms IF at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–0 · 76–20–4
  22. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Atvidabergs FF 1–1 Hässleholms IF
  23. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Hässleholms IF win: 40% at kick-off, 23% now
  24. 68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Draw is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Atvidabergs FF win 22%)
  25. 69′Hässleholms IF score on 68′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 21–56–23
  26. 69′We said Hässleholms IF at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 1–1 · 21–56–23
  27. 70′Goals are coming at about the 3.0 we expected. 1–1 · 20–58–22
  28. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Hässleholms IF · On: A. Romberg · Off: A. Hall
  29. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Atvidabergs FF · On: A. Bergstrom · Off: A. Saedi
  30. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Hässleholms IF · On: L. Braun · Off: A. Ahlstrand
  31. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Atvidabergs FF · On: M. Assarsson · Off: L. Brahim
  32. 74′We said Hässleholms IF at 40%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 18–63–19
  33. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Hässleholms IF
  34. 83′Hässleholms IF find the net on 83′. 1–2. 1–2 · 1–9–91
  35. 83′We published Hässleholms IF at 40%. Our model now makes it 91%. 1–2 · 1–9–91
  36. 83′That is 3, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 1–9–91
  37. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Atvidabergs FF
  38. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Atvidabergs FF 1–2 Hässleholms IF
  39. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Hässleholms IF win: 40% at kick-off, 91% now
  40. 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Hässleholms IF win is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Draw 9%)
  41. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Hässleholms IF · On: M. Lerner · Off: A. Al Hamlawi
  42. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Atvidabergs FF
  43. 89′We published Hässleholms IF at 40%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
  44. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Atvidabergs FF · On: A. Paakkari · Off: S. Sotra
  45. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Hässleholms IF
  46. FTFULL TIME Atvidabergs FF 1–2 Hässleholms IF
  47. FTAtvidabergs FF 1–2 Hässleholms IF · Hässleholms IF win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Hässleholms IF just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Atvidabergs FF 36%, draw 24%, Hässleholms IF 40%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Atvidabergs FF v Hässleholms IFBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Atvidabergs FF win36%
Draw24%
Hässleholms IF win40%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundSödra · matchday 27

VenueKopparvallen

Line-ups

Atvidabergs FF

Hässleholms IF

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Atvidabergs FF

Hässleholms IF

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Ettan - Södra

Last match: 10 Oct · Ettan - Södra

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Hässleholms IF26+1748
3Atvidabergs FF26+1447

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Atvidabergs FF

Formation not confirmed

1 H. Claesson

3 C. Thulin

4 T. Ostlund

5 A. Kachmar

8 V. Kamf

18 J. Lindvall

19 L. Brahim

20 E. Grandelius

21 S. Sotra

22 A. Saedi

24 J. Sivertsen

Coach · –

Substitutes

30 · K. Eriksson

2 · A. Skogo

6 · M. Assarsson

7 · A. Samuelsson

9 · H. Radetinac

11 · A. Paakkari

15 · A. Bergstrom

Hässleholms IF

Formation not confirmed

31 E. Ursprung

2 A. Branting

5 R. Jassim

6 A. Terzic

7 A. Andersson

8 J. Persson Ahstedt

11 A. Al Hamlawi

15 T. Ekstrom

16 A. Hall

22 J. Tikkanen

24 P. Carlsson

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · L. Bengtsson

4 · M. Lerner

12 · A. Ahlstrand

19 · L. Braun

21 · B. Catala

23 · A. Romberg

28 · E. Olofsson

Our number · hässleholms if winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
40% The market23%
Us40%
Market23%

We make Hässleholms IF a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 23%. We are 17 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.5.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Atvidabergs FF v Hässleholms IF1.44 – 1.52
Form · last six in Ettan - Södra this season · since 12 SeptW3 D2 L1 · W3 D0 L3
Table places · points 47 v 483 v 2
The market · Hässleholms IF win23% · ours 40%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
20%25%30%35%40%45% 11 OCT 04:0617 OCT 14:16
Our probability · Hässleholms IF win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 23% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Atvidabergs FF win36%52%−16
Draw24%25%−1
Hässleholms IF win40%23%+17
Over 2.5 goals56%55%+1
Both teams to score59%56%+3
Over 1.5 goals79%77%+2
Over 3.5 goals34%33%+1
Atvidabergs FF or draw60%77%−17
Atvidabergs FF clean sheet22%––
Hässleholms IF clean sheet24%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%
0123450 5.4 8.0 6.0 3.1 1 7.5 11.2 8.4 4.3 2 5.4 7.9 6.0 3.1 3 2.6 3.9 2.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Atvidabergs FF down, Hässleholms IF across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsHAS 2–0 ATV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ettan - Södra this season · since 12 Sept

ATVIDABERGS FF

WLWWDD3–2 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–1

HÄSSLEHOLMS IF

LWLLWW1–2 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 1–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Trelleborg27+3160
2Hässleholms IF26+1748
3Atvidabergs FF26+1447
4Lund27+1644
5AFC Malmo26+1244
6Rosengård26+439
7Trollhättan26+438
8Tvååker26−634
9Jonkopings Sodra26+233
10Olympic26−233
11Skövde AIK26−933
12Eskilsminne26−932
13Kristianstad26−1027
14Laholm26−1126
15Angelholms FF26−1424
16Utsikten26−3912

The competition's standings before kick-off.