Angelholms FF v Laholm prediction · Ettan

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 14:49

Angelholms FF 0–1 Laholm ANGELHOLMS FF WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Angelholms FF win~~42%

~~The market said~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.681

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.703

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 11 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Angelholms FF win at 42%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Angelholms FF 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 42–24–33
1′KICK-OFF Angelholms FF v Laholm
45′HALF-TIME Angelholms FF 0–0 Laholm
47′SECOND HALF Angelholms FF 0–0 Laholm
48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Angelholms FF win 34%)
52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Angelholms FF win: 42% at kick-off, 32% now
55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.0 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 31–43–26
57′We said Angelholms FF at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 0–0 · 30–44–25
59′We said Angelholms FF at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–46–25
68′We said Angelholms FF at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–55–21
71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Angelholms FF win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
75′We said Angelholms FF at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–65–16
80′We said Angelholms FF at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–74–12
82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Angelholms FF win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
84′Laholm find the net on 83′. 0–1. 0–1 · 0–9–91
84′We said Angelholms FF at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at under 1%. 0–1 · 0–9–91
84′⚽ GOAL · 83' Angelholms FF 0–1 Laholm
84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Angelholms FF win: 42% at kick-off, under 1% now
84′THE CALL SWINGS · 84' Laholm win is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Draw 9%)
FTFULL TIME Angelholms FF 0–1 Laholm
FTAngelholms FF 0–1 Laholm · Angelholms FF win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Angelholms FF are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Angelholms FF 42%, draw 24%, Laholm 33%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Angelholms FF v LaholmBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Angelholms FF win42%

Draw24%

Laholm win33%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00

RoundSödra · matchday 27

Line-ups

Angelholms FF

Laholm

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Angelholms FF

Laholm

6Days since last match5

Last match: 11 Oct · Ettan - Södra

Last match: 12 Oct · Ettan - Södra

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Laholm	26	−11	26
15	Angelholms FF	26	−14	24

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Angelholms FF

Formation not confirmed

1 R. Streifert

2 M. Ahmadi

3 E. Vedholm

4 W. Sonntag

7 A. Touray

8 B. Tannus

9 A. Nilsson

10 M. Tshikupe

15 A. Wiklund

16 M. Ahlqvist

23 O. Stojanovic Fredin

Coach · –

Substitutes

30 · Z. Nilsson

5 · B. Hasselqvist

17 · T. Boakye

18 · M. Tagsjo

20 · E. Lipovica

21 · E. Orrling

25 · J. Svensson

Laholm

Formation not confirmed

30 M. Johnsson

2 F. Andersson

27 G. Ibishi

12 O. Johansson

21 N. Hedstrom

20 M. Andersson

15 E. Berisha

19 L. Ragnarsson

14 V. Johansson

23 P. Comnell

25 V. Rolfsson

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · R. Lundgren

4 · J. Falk

6 · H. Johansson

7 · F. Hashani

9 · S. Svensson

16 · N. S. Onnebo

22 · L. Cakolli

Our number · angelholms ff winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

42% The market42%

Us42%

~~Market~~42%

We make Angelholms FF a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are level with the market. The model expects 1.6–1.4.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Angelholms FF v Laholm~~1.58 – 1.38

~~Form · last six in Ettan - Södra this season · since 12 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 24 v 26~~15 v 14

~~The market · Angelholms FF win~~42% · ours 42%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Angelholms FF win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Angelholms FF win	42%	42%	0
Draw	24%	26%	−2
Laholm win	33%	32%	+1
Over 2.5 goals	56%	57%	−1
Both teams to score	59%	61%	−2
Over 1.5 goals	79%	79%	0
Over 3.5 goals	34%	37%	−3
Angelholms FF or draw	67%	68%	−1
Angelholms FF clean sheet	26%	–	–
Laholm clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.1%

0123450 5.4 7.2 5.0 2.3 1 8.3 11.1 7.6 3.5 2 6.5 8.7 5.9 2.8 3 3.5 4.6 3.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Angelholms FF down, Laholm across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,409 Ettan - Södra matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ettan - Södra matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.3% of games this season, across 209 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2023 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Angelholms FF at home: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Laholm away: 1.33 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.58 goals for Angelholms FF, 1.38 for Laholm. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~LAH 1–1 ANG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ettan - Södra this season · since 12 Sept

ANGELHOLMS FF

LLDLWW0–3 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 1–4 · 3–0 · 2–0

LAHOLM

WDLLWD1–0 · 0–0 · 2–3 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 1–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Trelleborg	27	+31	60
2	Hässleholms IF	26	+17	48
3	Atvidabergs FF	26	+14	47
4	Lund	27	+16	44
5	AFC Malmo	26	+12	44
6	Rosengård	26	+4	39
7	Trollhättan	26	+4	38
8	Tvååker	26	−6	34
9	Jonkopings Sodra	26	+2	33
10	Olympic	26	−2	33
11	Skövde AIK	26	−9	33
12	Eskilsminne	26	−9	32
13	Kristianstad	26	−10	27
14	Laholm	26	−11	26
15	Angelholms FF	26	−14	24
16	Utsikten	26	−39	12