Hammarby Talang v Enköping prediction · Ettan

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

Hammarby Talang 0–1 Enköping HAMMARBY TALANG WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Hammarby Talang win~~60%

~~The market said~~66%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.064

~~The market’s Brier score~~1.208

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 20 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Hammarby Talang win at 60%.
4′Much as we predicted: Hammarby Talang was 60% before kick-off and our model makes it 60% now. 0–0 · 60–22–19
7′Much as we predicted: Hammarby Talang was 60% before kick-off and our model makes it 59% now. 0–0 · 59–22–19
39′M. Ozgun scores for Enköping on 29′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 22–28–50
39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Enköping win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Hammarby Talang win 22%)
40′M. Ozgun scores for Enköping on 29′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 21–28–51
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Hammarby Talang win: 60% at kick-off, 55% now
40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Hammarby Talang win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Enköping win 19%)
40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Hammarby Talang win: 60% at kick-off, 21% now
40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Enköping win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Hammarby Talang win 21%)
45′HALF-TIME Hammarby Talang 0–1 Enköping
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Hammarby Talang win: 60% at kick-off, 22% now
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Enköping win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was Hammarby Talang win 22%)
47′⚽ GOAL · 29' Hammarby Talang 0–1 Enköping · M. Ozgun
47′SECOND HALF Hammarby Talang 0–1 Enköping
47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Hammarby Talang · On: O. Moczarny · Off: R. Dwomoh
47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Hammarby Talang · On: E. Lwampindy-Bofua · Off: S. Moses
73′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Enköping · On: A. Lundgren · Off: J. Zucco
73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Hammarby Talang
76′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Enköping · On: V. N. Gard · Off: A. Sveijer
83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Hammarby Talang · On: A. Camara · Off: I. Musa
83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Enköping · On: W. Bjork · Off: M. Belouchi
83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Enköping · On: M. Hadell · Off: I. Braholm
90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Hammarby Talang · On: A. Lohake · Off: L. Krasniqi
FTFULL TIME Hammarby Talang 0–1 Enköping
FTHammarby Talang 0–1 Enköping · Hammarby Talang win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Hammarby Talang win60%

Draw21%

Enköping win19%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 15:00

VenueHammarby IP

Line-ups

Hammarby Talang

Enköping

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Hammarby Talang

Enköping

7Days since last match8

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Hammarby Talang	25	+26	45
7	Enköping	25	−2	42

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Hammarby Talang

Formation not confirmed

1 E. Opancar

3 J. Lindahl

4 C. Eklund

5 R. Dwomoh

6 S. Moses

10 G. Hana

14 L. Krasniqi

16 G. Elezaj

19 G. Andren

23 N. Ek

28 I. Musa

Coach · –

Substitutes

2 · E. Lwampindy-Bofua

7 · O. Moczarny

13 · A. Camara

15 · W. Gibson

20 · A. Lohake

35 · G. Nyberg

Enköping

Formation not confirmed

1 T. Kvist

4 M. Ozgun

6 M. Belouchi

7 M. Abdi

12 L. Nwafor

15 F. Ededal

16 J. Zucco

17 A. Sveijer

22 N. Seidouvy

23 H. Norrlin

40 I. Braholm

Coach · –

Substitutes

2 · W. Bjork

3 · M. Hadell

5 · A. Lundgren

9 · F. Johansson

20 · E. Faye

21 · V. N. Gard

26 · N. Ohrn Sinnerstad

Our number · hammarby talang winPublished 11 Oct 15:13

60% The market66%

Us60%

~~Market~~66%

We make Hammarby Talang a 60% chance to win. The market has them at 66%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–1.0.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · hammarby talang win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 71% to 66% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Hammarby Talang win	60%	66%	−6
Draw	21%	20%	+2
Enköping win	19%	14%	+4
Over 2.5 goals	59%	62%	−3
Both teams to score	56%	54%	+2
Over 1.5 goals	81%	81%	0
Over 3.5 goals	37%	41%	−4
Hammarby Talang or draw	81%	86%	−4
Hammarby Talang clean sheet	36%	–	–
Enköping clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.8%

0123450 4.9 4.7 2.6 1 9.2 9.8 5.0 2 9.4 9.7 5.1 3 6.5 6.6 3.4 4 3.4 3.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Hammarby Talang down, Enköping across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,404 Ettan - Norra matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Ettan - Norra matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.3% of games this season, across 204 played.

Head to head

3 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Hammarby Talang at home: 1.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Enköping away: 1.17 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.05 goals for Hammarby Talang, 1.05 for Enköping. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~ENK 0–1 HAM · ENK 2–2 HAM · HAM 0–1 ENK

Form · last six in Ettan - Norra

HAMMARBY TALANG

LWDLWL0–3 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 2–4 · 2–1 · 1–2

ENKÖPING

WWWDLW3–2 · 2–1 · 3–2 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 1–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Stockholm Internazionale	26	+42	60
2	Arlanda	26	+15	48
3	AFC Eskilstuna	26	+11	47
4	Hammarby Talang	25	+26	45
5	IF Karlstad	26	+15	44
6	FBK Karlstad	25	+6	43
7	Enköping	25	−2	42
8	Karlberg	26	−8	33
9	Assyriska FF	25	−2	32
10	Umeå FC	25	−7	32
11	Gefle IF	25	−14	30
12	Vasalund	26	−16	28
13	Sollentuna	26	−9	27
14	Piteå	25	−16	22
15	Järfälla	25	−22	19
16	Stocksund	26	−19	15