Enköping v Piteå prediction · Ettan

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

EnköpingDrawPiteå

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Enköping 50%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Enköping are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Enköping 50%, draw 23%, Piteå 27%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Enköping v PiteåBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Enköping win50%

Draw23%

Piteå win27%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:00

RoundNorra · matchday 28

VenueEnavallen C-plan

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Enköping

Piteå

9Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · Ettan - Norra

Last match: 18 Oct · Ettan - Norra

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Enköping	27	+1	48
14	Piteå	27	−16	24

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · enköping winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

50% The market47%

Us50%

~~Market~~47%

We make Enköping a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Enköping v Piteå~~1.82 – 1.26

~~Form · last six in Ettan - Norra this season · since 16 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 48 v 24~~5 v 14

~~The market · Enköping win~~47% · ours 50%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Enköping win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Enköping win	50%	47%	+3
Draw	23%	25%	−2
Piteå win	27%	28%	−1
Over 2.5 goals	59%	58%	+1
Both teams to score	59%	59%	0
Over 1.5 goals	81%	79%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	37%	37%	0
Enköping or draw	73%	72%	+1
Enköping clean sheet	29%	–	–
Piteå clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.5%

0123450 4.9 5.8 3.7 1 8.4 10.5 6.5 2.8 2 7.6 9.3 5.9 2.5 3 4.6 5.7 3.6 4 2.2 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Enköping down, Piteå across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,417 Ettan - Norra matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ettan - Norra matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.8% of games this season, across 217 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2021 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Enköping at home: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Piteå away: 1.50 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.82 goals for Enköping, 1.26 for Piteå. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~PIT 0–2 ENK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ettan - Norra this season · since 16 Sept

ENKÖPING

WDLWWW3–2 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 3–1

PITEÅ

LWWDDD0–2 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 3–3 · 1–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Stockholm Internazionale	27	+42	61
2	AFC Eskilstuna	27	+15	50
3	Hammarby Talang	28	+26	49
4	Arlanda	27	+13	48
5	Enköping	27	+1	48
6	FBK Karlstad	27	+7	46
7	IF Karlstad	27	+14	44
8	Umeå FC	27	−4	38
9	Assyriska FF	27	−3	35
10	Karlberg	27	−10	33
11	Gefle IF	27	−14	32
12	Sollentuna	27	−9	28
13	Vasalund	27	−20	28
14	Piteå	27	−16	24
15	Järfälla	28	−21	23
16	Stocksund	27	−21	15