Husqvarna W v Sandviken W prediction · Elitettan

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 15:35

Husqvarna W 3–1 Sandviken W HUSQVARNA W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Husqvarna W win~~64%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.193

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 24 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Husqvarna W win at 64%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Husqvarna W 64% before kick-off, 64% now. 0–0 · 64–18–18
1′KICK-OFF Husqvarna W v Sandviken W
3′🟨 YELLOW · 2' M. Kuusniemi · Sandviken W
9′Husqvarna W find the net on 9′. 1–0. 1–0 · 82–12–6
9′We said Husqvarna W at 64% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 1–0 · 82–12–6
9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Husqvarna W 1–0 Sandviken W
9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Husqvarna W win: 64% at kick-off, 82% now
11′Husqvarna W ahead on 8′ through R. Lind. 1–0. 1–0 · 82–12–6
30′The goal count is tracking the 3.4 we expected. 1–0 · 82–13–5
45′HALF-TIME Husqvarna W 2–0 Sandviken W
46′Husqvarna W ahead on 64′ through R. Lind. 3–1. 3–1 · 96–3–1
46′SECOND HALF Husqvarna W 2–0 Sandviken W
47′A goal for Husqvarna W on 45′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 96–3–1 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
47′We said Husqvarna W at 64% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 2–0 · 96–3–1 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
47′⚽ GOAL · 45+2' Husqvarna W 2–0 Sandviken W
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+2' Husqvarna W win: 64% at kick-off, 96% now
61′Sandviken W score on 61′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 84–13–3 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Husqvarna W 2–1 Sandviken W
61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Husqvarna W win: 64% at kick-off, 84% now
64′60′: M. Alvin on the scoresheet for Sandviken W, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 85–13–2 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
64′Husqvarna W find the net on 64′. 3–1. 3–1 · 98–2–0
64′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 98–2–0
64′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Husqvarna W · On: M. Javergren · Off: L. Lundgren
64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Husqvarna W 3–1 Sandviken W
64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Husqvarna W win: 64% at kick-off, 98% now
67′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Sandviken W · On: J. Bramberg · Off: M. Bratt
67′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Sandviken W · On: A. A. Sagstrom · Off: V. Hellman
71′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Husqvarna W · On: V. Strom · Off: A. Norberg
71′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Husqvarna W · On: N. Pereira · Off: E. Michelsson
72′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Husqvarna W
81′We said Husqvarna W at 64% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
88′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Sandviken W · On: K. Winka · Off: N. Viggiano
88′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Sandviken W · On: W. Naslund · Off: L. Andersson
91′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Husqvarna W · On: L. Gillberg · Off: F. Ekstrand
95′SUBSTITUTION · 90+4' Sandviken W · On: S. Dahlman · Off: Z. Koont
95′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Husqvarna W · On: J. Mammoo · Off: A. Jansson
FTFULL TIME Husqvarna W 3–1 Sandviken W
FTHusqvarna W 3–1 Sandviken W · Husqvarna W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Husqvarna W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Husqvarna W 64%, draw 18%, Sandviken W 18%. Over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Husqvarna W v Sandviken WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Husqvarna W win64%

Draw18%

Sandviken W win18%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 22

Line-ups

Husqvarna W

Sandviken W

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Husqvarna W

Sandviken W

13Days since last match14

Last match: 4 Oct · Elitettan

Last match: 3 Oct · Elitettan

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Husqvarna W	21	−4	28
13	Sandviken W	21	−36	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Husqvarna W

Formation not confirmed

3 L. Lundgren

4 A. Norberg

5 F. Ekstrand

7 N. Lundberg

10 E. Michelsson

13 R. Lind

15 F. Lindwall

17 M. Nilsson

18 T. Glemdal Bergkvist

26 A. Jansson

99 W. Edman

Coach · Stefan Jorgensen

Substitutes

1 · L. Sjogren

2 · N. Pereira

6 · L. Gillberg

8 · J. Mammoo

11 · V. Strom

14 · M. Javergren

21 · E. Lindback

Sandviken W

Formation not confirmed

30 C. Karlsson

3 M. Sellstrom

5 S. Berglund

6 M. Bratt

9 M. Alvin

10 L. Andersson

13 Z. Koont

14 N. Viggiano

15 M. Kuusniemi

16 V. Hellman

21 A. Loefgren

Coach · N. Kollgård

Substitutes

1 · J. Wahlen

4 · S. Dahlman

8 · W. Naslund

12 · J. Bramberg

18 · K. Winka

19 · A. Anderson

20 · A. A. Sagstrom

Our number · husqvarna w winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

64% The market–

Us64%

We make Husqvarna W a 64% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Husqvarna W v Sandviken W~~2.34 – 1.10

~~Form · last six in Elitettan this season · since 29 Aug~~W3 D0 L3 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 28 v 11~~7 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Husqvarna W win	64%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Sandviken W win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
Husqvarna W or draw	82%	–	–
Husqvarna W clean sheet	34%	–	–
Sandviken W clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.1%

0123450 3.3 4.1 2.1 1 8.0 8.0 4.6 2 8.6 9.1 5.0 3 6.6 6.9 3.8 4 4.0 4.1 2.3 5 2.0

under 2% 5% 12%+Husqvarna W down, Sandviken W across0–5 goals a side shown (95.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,058 Elitettan matches up to 4 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Elitettan matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.8% of games this season, across 147 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2026 in every competition we cover, 7.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Husqvarna W at home: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Sandviken W away: 1.17 scored, 3.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.34 goals for Husqvarna W, 1.10 for Sandviken W. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~7.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~SAN 3–4 HUS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Elitettan this season · since 29 Aug

HUSQVARNA W

WLWLWL1–0 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 0–2

SANDVIKEN W

WDDLLL3–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 0–7

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Elfsborg W	21	+29	48
2	KIF Örebro W	21	+25	47
3	Göteborg W	21	+28	45
4	Linköping W	21	+11	42
5	Umeå W	21	+13	37
6	Trelleborg W	21	−1	32
7	Husqvarna W	21	−4	28
8	Jitex W	21	−2	27
9	Örebro SK W	21	−6	26
10	Enskede W	21	−10	22
11	Alingsås W	21	−11	19
12	Gamla Upsala W	21	−13	17
13	Sandviken W	21	−36	11
14	Häcken II W	21	−23	8