Husqvarna W v Jitex W prediction · Elitettan

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 14:53

Husqvarna W 0–0 Jitex W HUSQVARNA W WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Husqvarna W win~~46%

~~The market said~~35%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.929

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.849

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 15 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Husqvarna W win at 46%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Husqvarna W 46% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 46–22–32
1′KICK-OFF Husqvarna W v Jitex W
45′HALF-TIME Husqvarna W 0–0 Jitex W
46′SECOND HALF Husqvarna W 0–0 Jitex W
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+5' Husqvarna W win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
55′We said Husqvarna W at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–40–26
55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.3 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 34–40–26
55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Husqvarna W win 37%)
65′We said Husqvarna W at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–48–22
69′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Jitex W · On: T. Alexandersson · Off: S. Berhe
69′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Husqvarna W · On: E. Michelsson · Off: L. Gillberg
69′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Husqvarna W · On: M. Javergren · Off: A. Jansson
70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Husqvarna W win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
72′We said Husqvarna W at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–57–19
77′We said Husqvarna W at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–65–15
80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Husqvarna W win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
82′We said Husqvarna W at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 13–76–11
86′We said Husqvarna W at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–84–7
90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Husqvarna W win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
92′We said Husqvarna W at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
92′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Husqvarna W · On: J. Mammoo · Off: F. Ekstrand
92′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Jitex W · On: H. Andreasson · Off: O. Alcaide
92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Husqvarna W
FTFULL TIME Husqvarna W 0–0 Jitex W
FTHusqvarna W 0–0 Jitex W · Husqvarna W win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Husqvarna W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Husqvarna W 46%, draw 22%, Jitex W 32%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Husqvarna W v Jitex WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Husqvarna W win46%

Draw22%

Jitex W win32%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 23

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Husqvarna W

Jitex W

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Elitettan

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Husqvarna W	22	−2	31
8	Jitex W	22	−7	27

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · husqvarna w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 22 Oct 04:10 · locked at kick-off

46% The market35%

Us46%

~~Market~~35%

We make Husqvarna W a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are 11 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–1.5.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Husqvarna W v Jitex W~~1.85 – 1.49

~~Form · last six in Elitettan this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 31 v 27~~7 v 8

~~The market · Husqvarna W win~~35% · ours 46%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Husqvarna W win The market, margin stripped

Published at 47%, 46% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 35% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Husqvarna W win	46%	35%	+11
Draw	22%	25%	−3
Jitex W win	32%	40%	−8
Over 2.5 goals	64%	63%	+1
Both teams to score	64%	65%	−1
Over 1.5 goals	84%	82%	+2
Over 3.5 goals	43%	43%	0
Husqvarna W or draw	68%	60%	+8
Husqvarna W clean sheet	23%	–	–
Jitex W clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.4%

0123450 3.7 5.7 4.0 2.0 1 7.0 9.4 7.0 3.5 2 6.1 8.6 6.3 3.2 3 3.8 5.3 3.9 4 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Husqvarna W down, Jitex W across0–5 goals a side shown (97.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,065 Elitettan matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Elitettan matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.8% of games this season, across 154 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2026 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Husqvarna W at home: 2.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Jitex W away: 1.83 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.85 goals for Husqvarna W, 1.49 for Jitex W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~JIT 1–1 HUS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Elitettan this season · since 5 Sept

HUSQVARNA W

LWLWLW1–2 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 3–1

JITEX W

LDWDWL1–2 · 1–1 · 4–1 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 2–7

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Elfsborg W	22	+31	51
2	KIF Örebro W	22	+30	50
3	Göteborg W	22	+32	48
4	Linköping W	22	+11	43
5	Umeå W	22	+13	38
6	Trelleborg W	22	−3	32
7	Husqvarna W	22	−2	31
8	Jitex W	22	−7	27
9	Örebro SK W	22	−10	26
10	Enskede W	22	−8	25
11	Alingsås W	22	−9	22
12	Gamla Upsala W	22	−15	17
13	Sandviken W	22	−38	11
14	Häcken II W	22	−25	8