Göteborg W v Enskede W prediction · Elitettan

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08

Göteborg W 2–0 Enskede W GÖTEBORG W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Göteborg W win~~71%

~~The market said~~74%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.126

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.106

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 20 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Göteborg W win at 71%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Göteborg W 71% before kick-off, 71% now. 0–0 · 71–15–14
1′KICK-OFF Göteborg W v Enskede W
35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Göteborg W win: 71% at kick-off, 61% now
40′We said Göteborg W at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 59–25–16
45′HALF-TIME Göteborg W 0–0 Enskede W
46′SECOND HALF Göteborg W 0–0 Enskede W
51′We said Göteborg W at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 54–30–16
55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 4.1 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 52–33–15
56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Göteborg W win: 71% at kick-off, 51% now
59′We said Göteborg W at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–36–15
63′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Göteborg W · On: J. Melake · Off: M. Ohman
63′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Göteborg W · On: M. Bergman-Lundin · Off: P. Zarassi
64′Göteborg W score on 64′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 86–12–2
64′We said Göteborg W at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 1–0 · 86–12–2
64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Göteborg W 1–0 Enskede W
64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Göteborg W win: 71% at kick-off, 86% now
66′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Göteborg W
74′Göteborg W find the net on 73′. 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
74′We said Göteborg W at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
74′⚽ GOAL · 73' Göteborg W 2–0 Enskede W
74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Göteborg W win: 71% at kick-off, 99% now
77′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Enskede W · On: I. Hanna · Off: S. Paulsson
77′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Enskede W · On: E. Sjoberg · Off: J. Mattsson
78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Göteborg W · On: C. Leffler · Off: F. Andersson
82′We said Göteborg W at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
91′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Enskede W · On: A. Holmquist · Off: A. Frank
91′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Enskede W · On: M. Liwendahl · Off: N. Lundstrom
91′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Enskede W · On: J. Apel · Off: L. Haggkvist
91′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Göteborg W · On: M. Svensson · Off: E. Paljevic
FTFULL TIME Göteborg W 2–0 Enskede W
FTGöteborg W 2–0 Enskede W · Göteborg W win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Göteborg W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Göteborg W 71%, draw 15%, Enskede W 14%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Göteborg W v Enskede WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Göteborg W win71%

Draw15%

Enskede W win14%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 23

VenueGamla Ullevi

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Göteborg W

Enskede W

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Elitettan

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Göteborg W	22	+32	48
10	Enskede W	22	−8	25

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · göteborg w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

71% The market74%

Us71%

~~Market~~74%

We make Göteborg W a 71% chance to win. The market has them at 74%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.9–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Göteborg W v Enskede W~~2.89 – 1.18

~~Form · last six in Elitettan this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D2 L1 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 48 v 25~~3 v 10

~~The market · Göteborg W win~~74% · ours 71%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Göteborg W win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 74% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Göteborg W win	71%	74%	−3
Draw	15%	16%	−1
Enskede W win	14%	10%	+4
Over 2.5 goals	75%	67%	+8
Both teams to score	64%	53%	+11
Over 1.5 goals	90%	86%	+4
Over 3.5 goals	57%	47%	+10
Göteborg W or draw	86%	90%	−4
Göteborg W clean sheet	32%	–	–
Enskede W clean sheet	7%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.1%

0123450 2.5 1 5.5 6.0 3.6 2 7.2 8.1 4.8 3 6.6 7.4 4.3 4 4.7 5.3 3.1 5 2.8 3.1

under 2% 5% 12%+Göteborg W down, Enskede W across0–5 goals a side shown (91.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,065 Elitettan matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Elitettan matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.8% of games this season, across 154 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2026 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Göteborg W at home: 2.50 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Enskede W away: 1.17 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.89 goals for Göteborg W, 1.18 for Enskede W. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~ENS 0–2 GOT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Elitettan this season · since 5 Sept

GÖTEBORG W

WDLDWW2–1 · 1–1 · 1–5 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 4–0

ENSKEDE W

LLLLWW0–2 · 0–1 · 1–5 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 3–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Elfsborg W	22	+31	51
2	KIF Örebro W	22	+30	50
3	Göteborg W	22	+32	48
4	Linköping W	22	+11	43
5	Umeå W	22	+13	38
6	Trelleborg W	22	−3	32
7	Husqvarna W	22	−2	31
8	Jitex W	22	−7	27
9	Örebro SK W	22	−10	26
10	Enskede W	22	−8	25
11	Alingsås W	22	−9	22
12	Gamla Upsala W	22	−15	17
13	Sandviken W	22	−38	11
14	Häcken II W	22	−25	8