Gamla Upsala W v Häcken II W prediction · Elitettan

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Gamla Upsala WDrawHäcken II W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Gamla Upsala W 45%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Gamla Upsala W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Gamla Upsala W 45%, draw 24%, Häcken II W 31%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Gamla Upsala W v Häcken II WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Gamla Upsala W win45%

Draw24%

Häcken II W win31%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 23

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Gamla Upsala W

Häcken II W

8Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · Elitettan

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Gamla Upsala W	22	−15	17
14	Häcken II W	22	−25	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gamla upsala w winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

45% The market41%

Us45%

~~Market~~41%

We make Gamla Upsala W a 45% chance to win. The market has them at 41%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Gamla Upsala W v Häcken II W~~1.62 – 1.31

~~Form · last six in Elitettan this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 17 v 8~~12 v 14

~~The market · Gamla Upsala W win~~41% · ours 45%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Gamla Upsala W win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 41% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Gamla Upsala W win	45%	41%	+4
Draw	24%	25%	−1
Häcken II W win	31%	34%	−3
Over 2.5 goals	56%	60%	−4
Both teams to score	57%	63%	−6
Over 1.5 goals	78%	80%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	34%	39%	−5
Gamla Upsala W or draw	69%	66%	+3
Gamla Upsala W clean sheet	28%	–	–
Häcken II W clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.7%

0123450 5.6 7.4 4.6 2.1 1 9.1 10.7 7.1 3.2 2 7.0 8.7 5.7 2.6 3 3.8 4.8 3.1 4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Gamla Upsala W down, Häcken II W across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,065 Elitettan matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Elitettan matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.8% of games this season, across 154 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 5 previous meetings since 2023 in every competition we cover, 3.80 goals a meeting; 4 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Gamla Upsala W at home: 0.67 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Häcken II W away: 0.83 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.62 goals for Gamla Upsala W, 1.31 for Häcken II W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~3.80

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 5

~~Both scored~~3 of 5

~~Last meetings~~HAC 1–2 GAM · GAM 1–0 HAC · HAC 5–1 GAM · HAC 1–3 GAM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Elitettan this season · since 5 Sept

GAMLA UPSALA W

WWDLLL2–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 0–2

HÄCKEN II W

WLLDLL2–0 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 2–3 · 0–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Elfsborg W	23	+34	54
2	KIF Örebro W	22	+30	50
3	Göteborg W	22	+32	48
4	Linköping W	22	+11	43
5	Umeå W	23	+17	41
6	Husqvarna W	23	−2	32
7	Trelleborg W	23	−7	32
8	Jitex W	23	−7	28
9	Örebro SK W	23	−13	26
10	Enskede W	22	−8	25
11	Alingsås W	22	−9	22
12	Gamla Upsala W	22	−15	17
13	Sandviken W	22	−38	11
14	Häcken II W	22	−25	8