Alingsås W v KIF Örebro W prediction · Elitettan

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08

Alingsås W 0–2 KIF Örebro W KIF ÖREBRO W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said KIF Örebro W win~~57%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.281

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 17 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said KIF Örebro W win at 57%.
1′Much as we predicted: KIF Örebro W was 57% before kick-off and our model makes it 57% now. 0–0 · 22–21–57
1′KICK-OFF Alingsås W v KIF Örebro W
15′KIF Örebro W score on 14′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 8–14–78
15′We published KIF Örebro W at 57%. Our model now makes it 78%. 0–1 · 8–14–78
15′⚽ GOAL · 14' Alingsås W 0–1 KIF Örebro W
15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' KIF Örebro W win: 57% at kick-off, 78% now
30′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 0–1 · 7–15–78
45′13′: R. Lapi on the scoresheet for KIF Örebro W, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 5–16–79
45′HALF-TIME Alingsås W 0–1 KIF Örebro W
46′SECOND HALF Alingsås W 0–1 KIF Örebro W
47′We published KIF Örebro W at 57%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 5–16–80
55′SUBSTITUTION · 54' KIF Örebro W · On: W. Dahlgren · Off: N. Eriksen-Yasseri
56′SUBSTITUTION · 54' KIF Örebro W · On: D. Pierre · Off: M. Selling
61′KIF Örebro W find the net on 61′. 0–2. 0–2 · 0–3–97
61′We published KIF Örebro W at 57%. Our model now makes it 97%. 0–2 · 0–3–97
61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Alingsås W 0–2 KIF Örebro W
61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' KIF Örebro W win: 57% at kick-off, 97% now
61′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Alingsås W · On: M. Ragnewall · Off: K. Wennergren
78′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Alingsås W · On: V. Purmonen · Off: E. Bjorkman
78′SUBSTITUTION · 76' KIF Örebro W · On: A. M. Astrom · Off: V. Andersson
79′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Alingsås W · On: T. Proder · Off: M. Laukka
79′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Alingsås W · On: N. Carlman · Off: H. Savhult
82′We published KIF Örebro W at 57%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
86′🟨 YELLOW · 86' KIF Örebro W
93′SUBSTITUTION · 90+1' KIF Örebro W · On: L. Lahdo · Off: J. Walentowicz
FTFULL TIME Alingsås W 0–2 KIF Örebro W
FTAlingsås W 0–2 KIF Örebro W · KIF Örebro W win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

KIF Örebro W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Alingsås W 22%, draw 21%, KIF Örebro W 57%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Alingsås W v KIF Örebro WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Alingsås W win22%

Draw21%

KIF Örebro W win57%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 23

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Alingsås W

KIF Örebro W

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Elitettan

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	KIF Örebro W	22	+30	50
11	Alingsås W	22	−9	22

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kif örebro w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

57% The market–

Us57%

We make KIF Örebro W a 57% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Alingsås W v KIF Örebro W~~1.12 – 1.97

~~Form · last six in Elitettan this season · since 5 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 22 v 50~~11 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Alingsås W win	22%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
KIF Örebro W win	57%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	37%	–	–
Alingsås W or draw	43%	–	–
Alingsås W clean sheet	15%	–	–
KIF Örebro W clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.6%

0123450 4.8 9.4 8.7 5.8 3.0 1 5.6 9.6 9.3 6.0 3.1 2 3.0 5.5 5.2 3.4 3 2.2 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Alingsås W down, KIF Örebro W across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,065 Elitettan matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Elitettan matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.8% of games this season, across 154 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2021 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Alingsås W at home: 0.83 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). KIF Örebro W away: 1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.12 goals for Alingsås W, 1.97 for KIF Örebro W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~KIF 2–0 ALI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Elitettan this season · since 5 Sept

ALINGSÅS W

LWDLLW1–2 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 2–0

KIF ÖREBRO W

DLWWWW2–2 · 1–2 · 5–1 · 2–1 · 7–0 · 7–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Elfsborg W	22	+31	51
2	KIF Örebro W	22	+30	50
3	Göteborg W	22	+32	48
4	Linköping W	22	+11	43
5	Umeå W	22	+13	38
6	Trelleborg W	22	−3	32
7	Husqvarna W	22	−2	31
8	Jitex W	22	−7	27
9	Örebro SK W	22	−10	26
10	Enskede W	22	−8	25
11	Alingsås W	22	−9	22
12	Gamla Upsala W	22	−15	17
13	Sandviken W	22	−38	11
14	Häcken II W	22	−25	8