Home › Football › Division 2 - Västra Götaland › Qviding FIF v Lindome

Qviding FIF v Lindome

Qviding FIF

3–1Full time

Lindome

Division 2 - Västra Götaland · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:04

Qviding FIF 3–1 Lindome QVIDING FIF WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Qviding FIF win~~50%

~~The market said~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.383

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.465

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 18 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Qviding FIF win at 50%.
2′Little has changed for our model: Qviding FIF 50% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 50–19–31
2′KICK-OFF Qviding FIF v Lindome
13′Qviding FIF find the net on 13′. 1–0. 1–0 · 69–16–15
13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Qviding FIF 1–0 Lindome
13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Qviding FIF win: 50% at kick-off, 69% now
14′We said Qviding FIF at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 69%. 1–0 · 69–16–15
20′We said Qviding FIF at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–16–14
20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Qviding FIF win: 50% at kick-off, 70% now
42′A goal for Lindome on 42′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 43–28–29
42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Qviding FIF 1–1 Lindome
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Qviding FIF win: 50% at kick-off, 43% now
43′The goal count is tracking the 4.3 we expected. 1–1 · 42–29–29
44′GOAL DISALLOWED · 44' Lindome
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Qviding FIF win: 50% at kick-off, 71% now
45′HALF-TIME Qviding FIF 1–0 Lindome
46′SECOND HALF Qviding FIF 1–0 Lindome
47′A goal for Qviding FIF on 46′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 90–7–3
47′We said Qviding FIF at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–0 · 90–7–3
47′⚽ GOAL · 46' Qviding FIF 2–0 Lindome
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Qviding FIF win: 50% at kick-off, 90% now
58′Qviding FIF score on 57′ to make it 3–0. 3–0 · 98–1–0
58′We said Qviding FIF at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 3–0 · 98–1–0
58′⚽ GOAL · 57' Qviding FIF 3–0 Lindome
66′Qviding FIF find the net on 65′. 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
66′We said Qviding FIF at 50% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–0 · 100–0–0
66′⚽ GOAL · 65' Qviding FIF 4–0 Lindome
66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Qviding FIF win: 50% at kick-off, over 99% now
68′GOAL DISALLOWED · 68' Qviding FIF
80′Lindome find the net on 80′. 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Qviding FIF 3–1 Lindome
FTFULL TIME Qviding FIF 3–1 Lindome
FTQviding FIF 3–1 Lindome · Qviding FIF win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Qviding FIF are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Qviding FIF 50%, draw 19%, Lindome 31%. Over 2.5 goals 79%, both teams to score 76%.

The AI’s read on Qviding FIF v LindomeBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Qviding FIF win50%

Draw19%

Lindome win31%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00

RoundVästra Götaland · matchday 26

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Qviding FIF

Lindome

8Days since last match9

Last match: 10 Oct · Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Last match: 9 Oct · Division 2 - Västra Götaland

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Lindome	25	+4	37
8	Qviding FIF	25	+1	37

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · qviding fif winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

50% The market45%

Us50%

~~Market~~45%

We make Qviding FIF a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.4–1.9.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Qviding FIF v Lindome~~2.39 – 1.86

~~Form · last six in Division 2 - Västra Götaland this season · since 6 Sept~~W4 D0 L2 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 37 v 37~~8 v 7

~~The market · Qviding FIF win~~45% · ours 50%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Qviding FIF win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Qviding FIF win	50%	45%	+5
Draw	19%	24%	−5
Lindome win	31%	31%	0
Over 2.5 goals	79%	73%	+6
Both teams to score	76%	73%	+3
Over 1.5 goals	92%	88%	+4
Over 3.5 goals	61%	54%	+7
Qviding FIF or draw	69%	69%	0
Qviding FIF clean sheet	16%	–	–
Lindome clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.4%

0123450 2.8 2.6 1 3.6 6.4 5.8 3.6 2 4.1 7.4 6.8 4.2 2.0 3 3.3 5.8 5.3 3.3 4 3.5 3.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Qviding FIF down, Lindome across0–5 goals a side shown (94.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,115 Division 2 - Västra Götaland matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Division 2 - Västra Götaland matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.4% of games this season, across 175 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Qviding FIF at home: 2.00 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Lindome away: 1.83 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.39 goals for Qviding FIF, 1.86 for Lindome. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~LIN 0–5 QVI · LIN 3–1 QVI · QVI 5–3 LIN · QVI 2–2 LIN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Division 2 - Västra Götaland this season · since 6 Sept

QVIDING FIF

WWLWLW1–0 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 2–1

LINDOME

LLLLWL0–2 · 1–2 · 1–3 · 2–3 · 4–3 · 1–3

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Landvetter IS	25	+24	57
2	Dalstorps	25	+22	49
3	Jonsered	25	+2	42
4	Hestrafor	25	+7	41
5	Böljan	25	+6	37
6	Västra Frölunda	25	+5	37
7	Lindome	25	+4	37
8	Qviding FIF	25	+1	37
9	Onsala	25	−3	33
10	Torslanda	25	−2	31
11	Kongahälla	25	−11	27
12	Åstorp	25	−13	26
13	Galtabacks	25	−6	23
14	Astrio	25	−36	10