Jonsered v Västra Frölunda

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Jonsered win at 45%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Jonsered was 45% before kick-off and our model makes it 45% now. 0–0 · 45–22–34
3. 1′KICK-OFF Jonsered v Västra Frölunda
4. 21′Västra Frölunda score on 21′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 21–22–58
5. 21′⚽ GOAL · 21' Jonsered 0–1 Västra Frölunda
6. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Jonsered win: 45% at kick-off, 21% now
7. 21′THE CALL SWINGS · 21' Västra Frölunda win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Jonsered win 21%)
8. 22′We said Jonsered at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 20%. 0–1 · 20–22–58
9. 26′We said Jonsered at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–22–59
10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.5 we expected. 0–1 · 18–22–59
11. 39′Jonsered find the net on 39′. 1–1. 1–1 · 39–31–31
12. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' Jonsered 1–1 Västra Frölunda
13. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 39' Jonsered win: 45% at kick-off, 39% now
14. 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Jonsered win is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Västra Frölunda win 31%)
15. 45′HALF-TIME Jonsered 1–2 Västra Frölunda
16. 46′A goal for Västra Frölunda on 45′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 14–23–63
17. 46′We said Jonsered at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–23–63
18. 46′⚽ GOAL · 45' Jonsered 1–2 Västra Frölunda
19. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Jonsered win: 45% at kick-off, 14% now
20. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' Västra Frölunda win is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Jonsered win 14%)
21. 46′SECOND HALF Jonsered 1–2 Västra Frölunda
22. 58′We said Jonsered at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–23–67
23. 58′Jonsered score on 58′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 33–41–27
24. 58′We said Jonsered at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 2–2 · 33–41–27
25. 58′4 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 33–41–27
26. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Jonsered 2–2 Västra Frölunda
27. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Jonsered win: 45% at kick-off, 33% now
28. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Västra Frölunda win 27%)
29. 65′We said Jonsered at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–47–24
30. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Jonsered win: 45% at kick-off, 25% now
31. 72′Västra Frölunda find the net on 71′. 2–3. 2–3 · 4–20–76
32. 72′We said Jonsered at 45%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–3 · 4–20–76
33. 72′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 4–20–76
34. 72′⚽ GOAL · 71' Jonsered 2–3 Västra Frölunda
35. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Jonsered win: 45% at kick-off, 4% now
36. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Västra Frölunda win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 20%)
37. FTFULL TIME Jonsered 2–3 Västra Frölunda
38. FTJonsered 2–3 Västra Frölunda · Jonsered win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.