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Dalstorps v Jonsered

Dalstorps
3–2Full time
Jonsered

Division 2 - Västra Götaland · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 15:38
Dalstorps 3–2 Jonsered DALSTORPS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Dalstorps win59%
The market said50%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.252
The market’s Brier score0.370

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Match events aren’t available for this match.

Pre-match prediction

Dalstorps win59%
Draw21%
Jonsered win20%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dalstorps winPublished 10 Oct 15:19
59% The market50%
Us59%
Market50%

We make Dalstorps a 59% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 9 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–1.1.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60%65% 9 OCT 06:2110 OCT 10:17
Our probability · dalstorps win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Dalstorps win59%50%+9
Draw21%24%−4
Jonsered win20%25%−5
Over 2.5 goals62%65%−3
Both teams to score58%66%−7
Over 1.5 goals83%81%+1
Over 3.5 goals40%46%−6
Dalstorps or draw80%75%+5
Dalstorps clean sheet33%––
Jonsered clean sheet13%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.4%
0123450 4.3 4.6 2.6 1 8.4 9.4 5.2 2.0 2 8.6 9.4 5.3 2.1 3 6.0 6.6 3.7 4 3.2 3.5 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Dalstorps down, Jonsered across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsJON 1–1 DAL

Form · last six in Division 2 - Västra Götaland

DALSTORPS

WLWWDW2–0 · 1–2 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 3–1

JONSERED

WLWLDW4–2 · 0–1 · 3–2 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 1–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Landvetter IS24+2354
2Dalstorps24+2146
3Jonsered24+342
4Hestrafor24+941
5Västra Frölunda24+637
6Böljan25+637
7Lindome25+437
8Qviding FIF24034
9Onsala24−430
10Torslanda24−328
11Kongahälla24−1027
12Åstorp24−1226
13Galtabacks24−820
14Astrio24−3510

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-10 14:12 UTC.