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Syrianska FC v Farsta

Syrianska FC
1–2Full time
Farsta

Division 2 - Södra Svealand · SAT 10 OCT · Sodertalje Fotbollsarena

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:32
Syrianska FC 1–2 Farsta FARSTA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Farsta win51%
The market said51%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.371
The market’s Brier score0.361

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 24 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Farsta win at 51%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Farsta 51% before kick-off, 50% now. 0–0 · 28–22–50
  3. 42′Syrianska FC ahead on 33′ through D. B. Ilunga. 1–0. 1–0 · 58–25–16
  4. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Syrianska FC win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Farsta win 16%)
  5. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Farsta win: 51% at kick-off, 47% now
  6. 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Farsta win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Syrianska FC win 27%)
  7. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Farsta win: 51% at kick-off, 16% now
  8. 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Syrianska FC win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Farsta win 16%)
  9. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Farsta win: 51% at kick-off, 47% now
  10. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Farsta win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Syrianska FC win 27%)
  11. 45′HALF-TIME Syrianska FC 1–0 Farsta
  12. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Farsta win: 51% at kick-off, 16% now
  13. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Syrianska FC win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Farsta win 16%)
  14. 46′SECOND HALF Syrianska FC 1–0 Farsta
  15. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Farsta win: 51% at kick-off, 16% now
  16. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Syrianska FC win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Farsta win 16%)
  17. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Farsta win: 51% at kick-off, 16% now
  18. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Syrianska FC win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Farsta win 16%)
  19. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Farsta win: 51% at kick-off, 16% now
  20. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Syrianska FC win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Farsta win 16%)
  21. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Farsta win: 51% at kick-off, 16% now
  22. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Syrianska FC win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Farsta win 16%)
  23. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Farsta win: 51% at kick-off, 16% now
  24. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Syrianska FC win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Farsta win 16%)
  25. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Syrianska FC 1–1 Farsta
  26. 68′⚽ GOAL · 68' Syrianska FC 1–2 Farsta
  27. FTFULL TIME Syrianska FC 1–2 Farsta
  28. FTSyrianska FC 1–2 Farsta · Farsta win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Syrianska FC win29%
Draw21%
Farsta win51%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:00

Venue · Sodertalje Fotbollsarena

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · farsta winPublished 10 Oct 16:17
51% The market51%
Us51%
Market51%

We make Farsta a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are within 0 points of the market. The model expects 1.4–1.9.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 9 OCT 06:2110 OCT 13:55
Our probability · farsta win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Syrianska FC win29%26%+3
Draw21%23%−2
Farsta win51%51%0
Over 2.5 goals64%66%−2
Both teams to score63%66%−3
Over 1.5 goals84%83%0
Over 3.5 goals43%46%−3
Syrianska FC or draw49%49%0
Syrianska FC clean sheet15%––
Farsta clean sheet25%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.0%
0123450 3.3 7.6 6.7 4.3 2.2 1 5.7 9.0 9.0 5.8 2.9 2 3.6 6.6 6.2 4.0 3 3.1 3.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Syrianska FC down, Farsta across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2023
Goals a meeting3.20
Over 2.55 of 5
Both scored4 of 5
Last meetingsFAR 2–1 SYR · SYR 2–1 FAR · FAR 2–1 SYR · SYR 3–0 FAR

Form · last six in Division 2 - Södra Svealand

SYRIANSKA FC

LDWWLW1–3 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 3–1 · 0–1 · 5–2

FARSTA

WWWLDW4–1 · 2–1 · 3–0 · 0–3 · 0–0 · 2–1

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Farsta24+2346
2Sleipner24+1345
3Forward24+1644
4Nyköping24+1643
5Haninge24+1343
6Rågsved24+839
7Smedby24+836
8Fittja24−133
9Karlslund24−131
10Örebro Syrianska24−228
11Syrianska FC24−1426
12Nacka Iliria24−1924
13Lindo FF24−1820
14Eker Örebro24−4215

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.