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Lindo FF v Örebro Syrianska

Lindo FF

1–2Full time

Örebro Syrianska

Division 2 - Södra Svealand · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:35

Lindo FF 1–2 Örebro Syrianska ÖREBRO SYRIANSKA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Örebro Syrianska win~~40%

~~The market said~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.553

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.495

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 12 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Örebro Syrianska win at 40%.
1′Much as we predicted: Örebro Syrianska was 40% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 35–26–39
1′KICK-OFF Lindo FF v Örebro Syrianska
27′⚽ GOAL · 26' Lindo FF 0–1 Örebro Syrianska
42′26′ and it is 0–1: A. Oulhaj on the scoresheet for Örebro Syrianska. 0–1 · 9–21–70
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Örebro Syrianska win: 40% at kick-off, 70% now
45′HALF-TIME Lindo FF 0–1 Örebro Syrianska
46′SECOND HALF Lindo FF 0–1 Örebro Syrianska
47′We published Örebro Syrianska at 40%. Our model now makes it 71%. 0–1 · 8–21–71
48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Lindo FF 1–1 Örebro Syrianska
68′Lindo FF ahead on 48′ through G. Gunnarsson. 1–1. 1–1 · 21–57–22
68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Örebro Syrianska win: 40% at kick-off, 22% now
68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Draw is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Örebro Syrianska win 22%)
76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Lindo FF 1–2 Örebro Syrianska
87′A goal for Örebro Syrianska on 76′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 0–4–96
87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Örebro Syrianska win: 40% at kick-off, 96% now
87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Örebro Syrianska win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 4%)
FTFULL TIME Lindo FF 1–2 Örebro Syrianska
FTLindo FF 1–2 Örebro Syrianska · Örebro Syrianska win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Lindo FF win36%

Draw24%

Örebro Syrianska win40%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · örebro syrianska winPublished 10 Oct 12:19

40% The market43%

Us40%

~~Market~~43%

We make Örebro Syrianska a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.4.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · örebro syrianska win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 36% to 43% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Lindo FF win	36%	32%	+4
Draw	24%	25%	−1
Örebro Syrianska win	40%	43%	−3
Over 2.5 goals	51%	64%	−12
Both teams to score	54%	66%	−11
Over 1.5 goals	75%	81%	−7
Over 3.5 goals	30%	44%	−14
Lindo FF or draw	60%	57%	+3
Lindo FF clean sheet	25%	–	–
Örebro Syrianska clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%

0123450 6.1 9.8 6.4 3.1 1 9.3 11.2 8.3 3.9 2 5.7 7.8 5.5 2.6 3 2.6 3.5 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Lindo FF down, Örebro Syrianska across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,108 Division 2 - Södra Svealand matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Division 2 - Södra Svealand matches have gone over 2.5 in 61.3% of games this season, across 168 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Lindo FF at home: 1.33 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Örebro Syrianska away: 1.00 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.33 goals for Lindo FF, 1.41 for Örebro Syrianska. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~ORE 0–2 LIN

Form · last six in Division 2 - Södra Svealand

LINDO FF

LLLLWL1–6 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 3–2 · 2–5

ÖREBRO SYRIANSKA

WLWWDD1–0 · 1–3 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 2–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Farsta	24	+23	46
2	Sleipner	24	+13	45
3	Forward	24	+16	44
4	Nyköping	24	+16	43
5	Haninge	24	+13	43
6	Rågsved	24	+8	39
7	Smedby	24	+8	36
8	Fittja	24	−1	33
9	Karlslund	24	−1	31
10	Örebro Syrianska	24	−2	28
11	Syrianska FC	24	−14	26
12	Nacka Iliria	24	−19	24
13	Lindo FF	24	−18	20
14	Eker Örebro	24	−42	15