Farsta v Lindo FF

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Farsta win at 74%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Farsta was 74% before kick-off and our model makes it 74% now. 0–0 · 74–14–12
3. 1′KICK-OFF Farsta v Lindo FF
4. 28′Farsta score on 28′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 87–10–3
5. 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' Farsta 1–0 Lindo FF
6. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Farsta win: 74% at kick-off, 87% now
7. 29′We published Farsta at 74%. Our model now makes it 87%. 1–0 · 87–10–3
8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.7 we expected. 1–0 · 87–10–3
9. 42′Lindo FF find the net on 41′. 1–1. 1–1 · 60–26–13
10. 42′We said Farsta at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 60%. 1–1 · 60–26–13
11. 42′⚽ GOAL · 41' Farsta 1–1 Lindo FF
12. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Farsta win: 74% at kick-off, 60% now
13. 44′We said Farsta at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 59%. 1–1 · 59–27–13
14. 45′HALF-TIME Farsta 1–1 Lindo FF
15. 46′SECOND HALF Farsta 1–1 Lindo FF
16. 47′A goal for Lindo FF on 47′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 28–29–42
17. 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Farsta 1–2 Lindo FF
18. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Farsta win: 74% at kick-off, 28% now
19. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Lindo FF win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Farsta win 28%)
20. 48′We said Farsta at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 1–2 · 27–30–43
21. 51′Farsta score on 51′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 55–31–13
22. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Farsta 2–2 Lindo FF
23. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Farsta win: 74% at kick-off, 55% now
24. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Farsta win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Lindo FF win 13%)
25. 52′4 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 55–32–13
26. 53′We said Farsta at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 54%. 2–2 · 54–33–13
27. 60′We said Farsta at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 2–2 · 49–38–13
28. 65′We said Farsta at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 2–2 · 44–44–12
29. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Farsta win: 74% at kick-off, 44% now
30. 68′THE CALL SWINGS · 68' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Farsta win 41%)
31. 70′We said Farsta at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 2–2 · 39–50–11
32. 73′Farsta find the net on 73′. 3–2. 3–2 · 90–9–1
33. 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Farsta 3–2 Lindo FF
34. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Farsta win: 74% at kick-off, 90% now
35. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Farsta win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Draw 9%)
36. 74′We published Farsta at 74%. Our model now makes it 90%. 3–2 · 90–9–1
37. 74′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.7 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 90–9–1
38. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Farsta win: 74% at kick-off, 94% now
39. 84′We published Farsta at 74%. Our model now makes it 95%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
40. FTFULL TIME Farsta 3–2 Lindo FF
41. FTFarsta 3–2 Lindo FF · Farsta win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.