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Model 1.1

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Eker Örebro v Forward

Eker Örebro
2–1Full time
Forward

Division 2 - Södra Svealand · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 15:05
Eker Örebro 2–1 Forward FORWARD WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Forward win61%
The market said55%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.005
The market’s Brier score0.928

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Eker Örebro win22%
Draw17%
Forward win61%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 12:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Eker Örebro

Forward

8Days since last match8
2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Forward24+1644
14Eker Örebro24−4215

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · forward winPublished 11 Oct 14:35
61% The market55%
Us61%
Market55%

We make Forward a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–2.5.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60%65% 9 OCT 06:219 OCT 07:23
Our probability · forward win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Eker Örebro win22%24%−2
Draw17%22%−4
Forward win61%55%+6
Over 2.5 goals76%––
Both teams to score70%––
Over 1.5 goals90%––
Over 3.5 goals57%––
Eker Örebro or draw39%45%−6
Eker Örebro clean sheet8%––
Forward clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.3%
0123450 5.1 5.8 4.9 3.2 1 3.2 6.4 8.3 6.9 4.5 2.32 2.1 5.0 6.1 5.1 3.2 3 2.5 3.0 2.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Eker Örebro down, Forward across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting4.67
Over 2.52 of 3
Both scored3 of 3
Last meetingsFOR 5–1 EKE · EKE 1–1 FOR · FOR 4–2 EKE

Form · last six in Division 2 - Södra Svealand

EKER ÖREBRO

LDLLLL1–7 · 3–3 · 0–3 · 4–5 · 2–3 · 1–3

FORWARD

LLWWDD1–3 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 1–1

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Farsta25+2449
2Sleipner24+1345
3Forward24+1644
4Nyköping24+1643
5Haninge25+1243
6Rågsved25+942
7Smedby25+736
8Fittja24−133
9Karlslund24−131
10Örebro Syrianska25−131
11Nacka Iliria25−1827
12Syrianska FC25−1526
13Lindo FF25−1920
14Eker Örebro24−4215

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-11 13:34 UTC.