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Model 1.1

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Österlen v Torns

Österlen
5–0Full time
Torns

Division 2 - Södra Götaland · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 14:34
Österlen 5–0 Torns ÖSTERLEN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Österlen win64%
The market said54%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.194
The market’s Brier score0.315

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match pulse

FULL TIME

Match outcome probability (%)

ÖsterlenDrawTorns
Our model, re-priced from the score and the clock at every minuteFull time
Full time · Österlen 5–0 Torns

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Österlen

Torns

7Days since last match8
2Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
8Österlen24−430
12Torns24−3521

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Österlen win64%
Draw18%
Torns win18%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 12:00

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · österlen winPublished 11 Oct 14:09
64% The market54%
Us64%
Market54%

We make Österlen a 64% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.5–1.3.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60%65%70% 9 OCT 06:219 OCT 07:23
Our probability · österlen win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Österlen win64%54%+10
Draw18%22%−4
Torns win18%24%−6
Over 2.5 goals72%––
Both teams to score65%––
Over 1.5 goals89%––
Over 3.5 goals52%––
Österlen or draw82%76%+6
Österlen clean sheet29%––
Torns clean sheet9%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.9%
0123450 2.8 2.7 1 5.6 7.6 4.6 2 7.2 8.9 5.6 2.4 3 6.0 7.4 4.6 4 3.8 4.7 2.9 5 2.4
under 2% 5% 12%+Österlen down, Torns across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting3.33
Over 2.52 of 3
Both scored2 of 3
Last meetingsTOR 2–3 OST · TOR 2–0 OST · OST 1–2 TOR

Form · last six in Division 2 - Södra Götaland

ÖSTERLEN

LWLDDL0–3 · 6–0 · 1–4 · 2–2 · 3–3 · 0–3

TORNS

LLWLLL1–2 · 1–3 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 1–5 · 0–2

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Karlskrona24+4260
2IFK Trelleborg24+2850
3Oskarshamns AIK24+3045
4Nosaby25+742
5Linero25+641
6Berga24+1640
7Växjö Norra25−435
8Österlen24−430
9Lilla Torg25−829
10Sölvesborg25−1129
11Staffanstorp United24−426
12Torns24−3521
13Räppe25−2918
14Karlshamn24−3414

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-11 13:07 UTC.