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IFK Östersund v IFK Luleå
IFK Östersund
IFK LuleåDivision 2 - Norrland · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said IFK Östersund win at 48%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: IFK Östersund 48% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 48–22–30
- 1′KICK-OFF IFK Östersund v IFK Luleå
- 29′A goal for IFK Östersund on 28′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 71–18–11
- 29′We said IFK Östersund at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 71%. 1–0 · 71–18–11
- 29′⚽ GOAL · 28' IFK Östersund 1–0 IFK Luleå
- 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' IFK Östersund win: 48% at kick-off, 71% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.5 we expected. 1–0 · 71–18–11
- 38′IFK Luleå score on 37′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 41–30–28
- 38′⚽ GOAL · 37' IFK Östersund 1–1 IFK Luleå
- 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' IFK Östersund win: 48% at kick-off, 41% now
- 43′IFK Östersund find the net on 42′. 2–1. 2–1 · 72–19–9
- 43′⚽ GOAL · 42' IFK Östersund 2–1 IFK Luleå
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' IFK Östersund win: 48% at kick-off, 72% now
- 45′HALF-TIME IFK Östersund 2–1 IFK Luleå
- 46′SECOND HALF IFK Östersund 2–1 IFK Luleå
- 50′IFK Östersund ahead on 42′ through H. Loof. 2–1. 2–1 · 73–19–8
- 50′We said IFK Östersund at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 73%. 2–1 · 73–19–8
- 56′We said IFK Östersund at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 2–1 · 75–19–6
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' IFK Östersund win: 48% at kick-off, 78% now
- 67′The goal count is tracking the 3.5 we expected. 2–1 · 79–18–4
- 69′We said IFK Östersund at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
- 77′We said IFK Östersund at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' IFK Östersund win: 48% at kick-off, 88% now
- 83′We said IFK Östersund at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 89′We said IFK Östersund at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
- 91′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' IFK Östersund 2–2 IFK Luleå
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' IFK Östersund win: 48% at kick-off, 5% now
- 91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 91% (was IFK Östersund win 5%)
- 92′A goal for IFK Luleå on 90′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 4–93–3
- 92′We said IFK Östersund at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–3
- 93′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 3–94–2
- FTFULL TIME IFK Östersund 2–2 IFK Luleå
- FTIFK Östersund 2–2 IFK Luleå · IFK Östersund win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassIFK Östersund are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: IFK Östersund 48%, draw 22%, IFK Luleå 30%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 67%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
IFK Östersund win48%
IFK Luleå win30%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00
RoundNorrland - Promotion round
Match timeline
All events
IFK ÖstersundMIN
IFK LuleåEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
IFK Östersund
IFK Luleå
Last match: 10 Oct · Division 2 - Norrland
Last match: 10 Oct · Division 2 - Norrland
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make IFK Östersund a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 2.0–1.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Östersund win | 48% | 47% | +1 |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | −1 |
| IFK Luleå win | 30% | 30% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 66% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 67% | 67% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 46% | 0 |
| IFK Östersund or draw | 70% | 70% | 0 |
| IFK Östersund clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
| IFK Luleå clean sheet | 15% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
9 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Division 2 - Norrland this season · since 12 Sept
IFK ÖSTERSUND
IFK LULEÅ
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skellefteå | 12 | +18 | 27 |
| 2 | Täfteå | 12 | +21 | 25 |
| 3 | IFK Luleå | 12 | +18 | 25 |
| 4 | Boden | 12 | +1 | 17 |
| 5 | Umeå FC Akademi | 12 | −12 | 11 |
| 6 | Storfors | 12 | −18 | 8 |
| 7 | IFK Umeå | 12 | −28 | 4 |
| 1 | Kubikenborg | 12 | +9 | 23 |
| 2 | Gottne | 12 | +5 | 23 |
| 3 | Lucksta | 12 | 0 | 18 |
| 4 | IFK Östersund | 12 | +3 | 17 |
| 5 | Friska Viljor | 12 | +2 | 12 |
| 6 | Umea FF | 12 | −4 | 11 |
| 7 | Fransta | 12 | −15 | 9 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Skellefteå
Täfteå
Boden
Umeå FC Akademi
Storfors
IFK Umeå
Kubikenborg
Gottne
Lucksta
Friska Viljor
Umea FF
Fransta