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IFK Luleå v Gottne

IFK Luleå
3–1Full time
Gottne

Division 2 - Norrland · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:35
IFK Luleå 3–1 Gottne IFK LULEÅ WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said IFK Luleå win56%
The market said52%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.292
The market’s Brier score0.343

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

IFK Luleå win56%
Draw21%
Gottne win23%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ifk luleå winPublished 10 Oct 14:16
56% The market52%
Us56%
Market52%

We make IFK Luleå a 56% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–1.3.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60% 9 OCT 06:2110 OCT 03:59
Our probability · ifk luleå win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 52% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
IFK Luleå win56%52%+4
Draw21%23%−2
Gottne win23%25%−2
Over 2.5 goals67%69%−2
Both teams to score64%68%−4
Over 1.5 goals86%83%+3
Over 3.5 goals46%49%−3
IFK Luleå or draw77%75%+2
IFK Luleå clean sheet27%––
Gottne clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.1%
0123450 3.5 4.0 2.8 1 6.6 8.9 5.7 2.6 2 7.1 9.1 6.0 2.7 3 5.1 6.5 4.3 4 2.8 3.6 2.4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+IFK Luleå down, Gottne across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2022
Goals a meeting3.33
Over 2.55 of 9
Both scored5 of 9
Last meetingsGOT 0–1 IFK · IFK 3–2 GOT · GOT 2–0 IFK · GOT 1–1 IFK

Form · last six in Division 2 - Norrland

IFK LULEÅ

WWLWWW2–1 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 4–2

GOTTNE

DLLLWW1–1 · 2–4 · 0–4 · 1–4 · 3–0 · 4–2

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Kubikenborg24+2750
2IFK Luleå24+2249
3Skellefteå24+1745
4IFK Östersund24+1840
5Täfteå24+1440
6Gottne24034
7Friska Viljor21+1031
8Boden24−1031
9Umeå FC Akademi21027
10Lucksta24−1325
11Fransta21−1424
12Storfors21−1424
13Umea FF21−623
14IFK Umeå21−515

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-10 13:15 UTC.