Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Division 2 - Norrland › Gottne v Täfteå

Back
Sweden flag

Gottne v Täfteå

Gottne
5–0Full time
Täfteå

Division 2 - Norrland · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28
Gottne 5–0 Täfteå GOTTNE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Gottne win47%
The market said45%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.430
The market’s Brier score0.451

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Gottne are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Gottne 47%, draw 21%, Täfteå 32%. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 70%.

The AI’s read on Gottne v TäfteåBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Gottne win47%
Draw21%
Täfteå win32%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundNorrland - Promotion round

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Gottne

Täfteå

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Division 2 - Norrland

Last match: 10 Oct · Division 2 - Norrland

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · gottne winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
47% The market45%
Us47%
Market45%

We make Gottne a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 2.1–1.7.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Gottne v Täfteå2.07 – 1.69
Form · last six in Division 2 - Norrland this season · since 12 SeptW2 D0 L4 · W3 D0 L3
Table places · points 23 v 252 v 2
The market · Gottne win45% · ours 47%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 11 OCT 04:0617 OCT 13:31
Our probability · Gottne win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Gottne win47%45%+2
Draw21%23%−2
Täfteå win32%31%+1
Over 2.5 goals72%69%+3
Both teams to score70%69%+1
Over 1.5 goals88%––
Over 3.5 goals51%49%+2
Gottne or draw68%69%−1
Gottne clean sheet19%––
Täfteå clean sheet13%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 2 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.3%
0123450 2.8 3.9 3.4 1 4.8 8.3 6.7 3.8 2 5.1 8.2 6.8 3.8 3 3.5 5.6 4.7 2.6 4 3.0 2.5 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Gottne down, Täfteå across0–5 goals a side shown (96.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting2.71
Over 2.53 of 7
Both scored4 of 7
Last meetingsTAF 3–1 GOT · GOT 1–1 TAF · TAF 1–0 GOT · GOT 2–2 TAF

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Division 2 - Norrland this season · since 12 Sept

GOTTNE

LLLWWL2–4 · 0–4 · 1–4 · 3–0 · 4–2 · 1–3

TÄFTEÅ

LWWWLL1–2 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 0–4 · 1–2