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Model 1.1

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Sunnersta v Korsnäs

Sunnersta
7–1Full time
Korsnäs

Division 2 - Norra Svealand · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47
Sunnersta 7–1 Korsnäs SUNNERSTA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT3–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Sunnersta win82%
The market said79%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.051
The market’s Brier score0.069

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Sunnersta win82%
Draw11%
Korsnäs win7%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 15:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Sunnersta

Korsnäs

9Days since last match7
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Sunnersta24+3750
13Korsnäs24−3214

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sunnersta winPublished 11 Oct 17:22
82% The market79%
Us82%
Market79%

We make Sunnersta a 82% chance to win. The market has them at 79%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 3.3–0.9.

How the number movedSince we published
75%80%85% 9 OCT 06:2111 OCT 04:06
Our probability · sunnersta win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has not moved either.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Sunnersta win82%79%+3
Draw11%13%−2
Korsnäs win7%8%−1
Over 2.5 goals78%77%+1
Both teams to score56%59%−3
Over 1.5 goals92%91%0
Over 3.5 goals60%60%0
Sunnersta or draw93%92%+1
Sunnersta clean sheet42%––
Korsnäs clean sheet4%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–0 at 8.7%
0123450 1 5.0 4.8 2.1 2 8.1 7.1 3.2 3 8.7 7.5 3.4 4 7.2 6.1 2.7 5 4.9 4.1
under 2% 5% 12%+Sunnersta down, Korsnäs across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting4.00
Over 2.52 of 3
Both scored3 of 3
Last meetingsKOR 1–4 SUN · KOR 1–1 SUN · SUN 4–1 KOR

Form · last six in Division 2 - Norra Svealand

SUNNERSTA

DLWWWL2–2 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 6–0 · 1–2

KORSNÄS

DLLLWL2–2 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 0–3 · 4–2 · 1–3

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Skiljebo25+3056
2Enskede25+1852
3Angby24+3151
4Sunnersta24+3750
5Falu BS25+1044
6Täby25+1641
7Franke25+234
8Gute25032
9Bollstanäs25−331
10Kungsängen25−925
11Lidingö25−2523
12Viggbyholms IK24−2619
13Korsnäs24−3214
14Helges25−4910

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.