Angby v Viggbyholms IK prediction · Division 2 - Norra Svealand

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 14:34

Angby 0–2 Viggbyholms IK ANGBY WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Angby win~~74%

~~The market said~~69%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.355

~~The market’s Brier score~~1.278

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 20 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Angby win at 74%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Angby 74% before kick-off, 76% now. 0–0 · 76–14–10
1′KICK-OFF Angby v Viggbyholms IK
12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Angby 0–1 Viggbyholms IK
12′⚽ GOAL · 13' Angby 0–1 Viggbyholms IK
18′A goal for Viggbyholms IK on 13′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 48–23–29
18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Angby win: 74% at kick-off, 48% now
18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Angby win: 74% at kick-off, 76% now
38′We said Angby at 74%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 37%. 0–1 · 37–27–36
38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Angby win: 74% at kick-off, 37% now
39′We said Angby at 74%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 0–1 · 36–28–36
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Angby win: 74% at kick-off, 48% now
39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Angby win: 74% at kick-off, 37% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Angby win: 74% at kick-off, 37% now
45′SECOND HALF Angby 0–1 Viggbyholms IK
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Angby win: 74% at kick-off, 37% now
52′⚽ GOAL · 13' Angby 0–1 Viggbyholms IK
55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Angby 0–2 Viggbyholms IK
55′PENALTY MISSED · 56' Viggbyholms IK
55′⚽ GOAL · 56' Angby 0–2 Viggbyholms IK
57′PENALTY MISSED · 56' Viggbyholms IK
57′⚽ GOAL · 56' Angby 0–2 Viggbyholms IK
58′PENALTY MISSED · 56' Viggbyholms IK
58′⚽ GOAL · 56' Angby 0–2 Viggbyholms IK
FTFULL TIME Angby 0–2 Viggbyholms IK
FTAngby 0–2 Viggbyholms IK · Angby win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Angby win74%

Draw15%

Viggbyholms IK win11%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 12:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Angby

Viggbyholms IK

7Days since last match8

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Angby	24	+31	51
12	Viggbyholms IK	24	−26	19

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · angby winPublished 11 Oct 12:12

74% The market69%

Us74%

~~Market~~69%

We make Angby a 74% chance to win. The market has them at 69%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.9–1.0.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · angby win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 58% to 69% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Angby win	74%	69%	+5
Draw	15%	19%	−4
Viggbyholms IK win	11%	12%	−1
Over 2.5 goals	74%	67%	+7
Both teams to score	59%	57%	+2
Over 1.5 goals	90%	85%	+5
Over 3.5 goals	55%	48%	+7
Angby or draw	89%	88%	+1
Angby clean sheet	37%	–	–
Viggbyholms IK clean sheet	6%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.1%

0123450 2.5 2.1 1 5.7 6.3 3.2 2 8.1 8.1 4.2 3 7.6 7.5 3.9 4 5.6 5.4 2.7 5 3.5 3.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Angby down, Viggbyholms IK across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,089 Division 2 - Norra Svealand matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Division 2 - Norra Svealand matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.3% of games this season, across 173 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Angby at home: 3.00 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Viggbyholms IK away: 0.83 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.93 goals for Angby, 1.03 for Viggbyholms IK. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~VIG 0–2 ANG

Form · last six in Division 2 - Norra Svealand

ANGBY

DWWLWW2–2 · 5–0 · 5–1 · 1–2 · 3–2 · 9–0

VIGGBYHOLMS IK

LLLWLL0–2 · 0–2 · 0–3 · 4–2 · 2–4 · 0–3

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Skiljebo	25	+30	56
2	Enskede	25	+18	52
3	Angby	24	+31	51
4	Sunnersta	24	+37	50
5	Falu BS	25	+10	44
6	Täby	25	+16	41
7	Franke	25	+2	34
8	Gute	25	0	32
9	Bollstanäs	25	−3	31
10	Kungsängen	25	−9	25
11	Lidingö	25	−25	23
12	Viggbyholms IK	24	−26	19
13	Korsnäs	24	−32	14
14	Helges	25	−49	10