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Stenungsund v Husqvarna
StenungsundHusqvarnaDivision 2 - Norra Götaland · SAT 17 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Husqvarna win at 49%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Husqvarna 49% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 27–24–49
- 1′KICK-OFF Stenungsund v Husqvarna
- 20′A goal for Stenungsund on 20′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 54–24–22
- 20′We said Husqvarna at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 22%. 1–0 · 54–24–22
- 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Stenungsund 1–0 Husqvarna
- 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Husqvarna win: 49% at kick-off, 22% now
- 20′THE CALL SWINGS · 20' Stenungsund win is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Husqvarna win 22%)
- 28′We said Husqvarna at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 56–24–19
- 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' Husqvarna win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 1–0 · 57–24–19
- 44′We said Husqvarna at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 61–25–14
- 45′Husqvarna are down to ten from 45′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–0 · 61–25–14
- 45′🟥 RED CARD · 45' Husqvarna
- 45′HALF-TIME Stenungsund 1–0 Husqvarna
- 46′SECOND HALF Stenungsund 1–0 Husqvarna
- 58′We said Husqvarna at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 67–24–9
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Husqvarna win: 49% at kick-off, 9% now
- 71′We said Husqvarna at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–0 · 75–20–4
- 94′Stenungsund score on 90′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Stenungsund 2–0 Husqvarna
- FTFULL TIME Stenungsund 2–0 Husqvarna
- FTStenungsund 2–0 Husqvarna · Husqvarna win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassHusqvarna are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Stenungsund 27%, draw 24%, Husqvarna 49%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 58%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Stenungsund win27%Husqvarna win49%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 12:00
RoundNorra Götaland · matchday 26
Match timeline
All events
StenungsundMINHusqvarnaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Stenungsund
Husqvarna
Last match: 10 Oct · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Last match: 11 Oct · Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Husqvarna | 25 | +41 | 66 |
| 7 | Stenungsund | 25 | +12 | 36 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Husqvarna a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stenungsund win | 27% | 23% | +4 |
| Draw | 24% | 23% | +1 |
| Husqvarna win | 49% | 54% | −5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 62% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 62% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 80% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 42% | −7 |
| Stenungsund or draw | 51% | 46% | +5 |
| Stenungsund clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
| Husqvarna clean sheet | 29% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Division 2 - Norra Götaland this season · since 5 Sept
STENUNGSUND
HUSQVARNA
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Husqvarna | 25 | +41 | 66 |
| 2 |  Skara | 25 | +26 | 56 |
| 3 |  IFK Skövde | 25 | +16 | 47 |
| 4 |  Ahlafors | 25 | +25 | 43 |
| 5 |  Grebbestad | 25 | +7 | 40 |
| 6 |  Herrestads | 25 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Stenungsund | 25 | +12 | 36 |
| 8 |  Lidköping | 25 | −11 | 30 |
| 9 |  Vänersborgs FK | 25 | −10 | 29 |
| 10 |  Motala | 25 | −5 | 26 |
| 11 |  Kumla | 25 | −19 | 26 |
| 12 |  Tord | 25 | −14 | 22 |
| 13 |  IF Karlstad II | 25 | −19 | 16 |
| 14 |  Vänersborgs IF | 25 | −49 | 9 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.