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IFK Skövde v Skara

IFK Skövde
0–1Full time
Skara

Division 2 - Norra Götaland · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 20:30
IFK Skövde 0–1 Skara IFK SKÖVDE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said IFK Skövde win48%
The market said42%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.807
The market’s Brier score0.695

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 6 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said IFK Skövde win at 48%.
  2. 30′IFK Skövde find the net on 15′. 0–0. 0–0 · 43–31–27
  3. 35′Skara find the net on 31′. 0–0. 0–0 · 41–33–26
  4. 36′Skara find the net on 31′. 0–0. 0–0 · 41–33–26
  5. 37′Skara find the net on 31′. 0–0. 0–0 · 41–33–26
  6. 38′Skara find the net on 31′. 0–0. 0–0 · 41–34–26
  7. 39′Skara find the net on 31′. 0–0. 0–0 · 40–34–26
  8. 40′Skara find the net on 31′. 0–0. 0–0 · 40–35–26
  9. 41′Skara find the net on 31′. 0–0. 0–0 · 40–35–25
  10. 45′SECOND HALF IFK Skövde 0–0 Skara
  11. 46′Little has changed for our model: IFK Skövde 48% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 38–37–25
  12. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' IFK Skövde win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
  13. 67′🟥 RED CARD · 67' Skara
  14. 94′⚽ GOAL · 94' IFK Skövde 0–1 Skara
  15. 94′⚽ GOAL · 95' IFK Skövde 0–1 Skara
  16. FTFULL TIME IFK Skövde 0–1 Skara
  17. FTIFK Skövde 0–1 Skara · IFK Skövde win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

IFK Skövde win48%
Draw24%
Skara win28%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 18:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ifk skövde winPublished 9 Oct 18:04
48% The market42%
Us48%
Market42%

We make IFK Skövde a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.2.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 9 OCT 06:209 OCT 16:09
Our probability · ifk skövde win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has not moved either.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
IFK Skövde win48%42%+6
Draw24%25%−1
Skara win28%33%−5
Over 2.5 goals56%61%−6
Both teams to score57%63%−6
Over 1.5 goals79%79%−1
Over 3.5 goals34%41%−7
IFK Skövde or draw72%67%+5
IFK Skövde clean sheet30%––
Skara clean sheet19%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%
0123450 5.9 6.5 4.1 1 8.9 11.2 6.7 2.8 2 7.6 9.1 5.6 2.4 3 4.3 5.2 3.2 4 2.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+IFK Skövde down, Skara across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsSKA 1–0 IFK

Form · last six in Division 2 - Norra Götaland

IFK SKÖVDE

WDWLWW3–2 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 3–0

SKARA

DWWWLW1–1 · 5–0 · 4–1 · 1–0 · 1–3 · 3–1

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Husqvarna24+4063
2Skara24+2553
3IFK Skövde24+1747
4Ahlafors24+2743
5Grebbestad24+739
6Herrestads24+237
7Stenungsund24+933
8Vänersborgs FK25−1029
9Lidköping24−1327
10Motala24−326
11Kumla25−1926
12Tord24−1421
13IF Karlstad II24−2313
14Vänersborgs IF24−459

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.