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Model 1.1

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IF Karlstad II v Vänersborgs IF

IF Karlstad II
4–0Full time
Vänersborgs IF

Division 2 - Norra Götaland · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:56
IF Karlstad II 4–0 Vänersborgs IF IF KARLSTAD II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said IF Karlstad II win50%
The market said51%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.373
The market’s Brier score0.356

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

IF Karlstad II win50%
Draw22%
Vänersborgs IF win28%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

IF Karlstad II

Vänersborgs IF

7Days since last match8
2Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
13IF Karlstad II24−2313
14Vänersborgs IF24−459

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · if karlstad ii winPublished 11 Oct 16:29
50% The market51%
Us50%
Market51%

We make IF Karlstad II a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 2.0–1.4.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 9 OCT 06:2111 OCT 04:06
Our probability · if karlstad ii win The market, margin stripped

Published at 51%, 50% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
IF Karlstad II win50%51%−1
Draw22%23%−1
Vänersborgs IF win28%26%+2
Over 2.5 goals66%66%0
Both teams to score65%66%−1
Over 1.5 goals85%82%+3
Over 3.5 goals44%47%−3
IF Karlstad II or draw72%74%−2
IF Karlstad II clean sheet25%––
Vänersborgs IF clean sheet14%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.5%
0123450 3.8 4.7 3.4 1 6.5 9.5 6.5 3.1 2 6.5 8.9 6.3 3.0 3 4.3 5.9 4.2 2.0 4 2.2 3.0 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+IF Karlstad II down, Vänersborgs IF across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting5.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsVAN 1–4 IFK

Form · last six in Division 2 - Norra Götaland

IF KARLSTAD II

LDLLLL1–3 · 2–2 · 1–4 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 1–3

VÄNERSBORGS IF

LLLLLL0–1 · 0–5 · 1–2 · 2–5 · 1–2 · 0–4

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Husqvarna24+4063
2Skara25+2656
3IFK Skövde25+1647
4Ahlafors25+2543
5Grebbestad25+740
6Herrestads24+237
7Stenungsund25+1136
8Lidköping25−1130
9Vänersborgs FK25−1029
10Motala25−526
11Kumla25−1926
12Tord25−1422
13IF Karlstad II24−2313
14Vänersborgs IF24−459

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Last updated 2026-10-11 15:22 UTC.