Grebbestad v Vänersborgs FK

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Grebbestad win at 56%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Grebbestad was 56% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 56–22–22
3. 1′KICK-OFF Grebbestad v Vänersborgs FK
4. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Grebbestad win: 56% at kick-off, 46% now
5. 45′We said Grebbestad at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–34–21
6. 45′HALF-TIME Grebbestad 0–0 Vänersborgs FK
7. 46′SECOND HALF Grebbestad 0–0 Vänersborgs FK
8. 55′We expected about 3.2 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 40–40–20
9. 56′We said Grebbestad at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–41–20
10. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Grebbestad win 38%)
11. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Grebbestad win: 56% at kick-off, 36% now
12. 64′We said Grebbestad at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–48–18
13. 65′Vänersborgs FK score on 65′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 8–25–67
14. 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Grebbestad 0–1 Vänersborgs FK
15. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Grebbestad win: 56% at kick-off, 8% now
16. 65′THE CALL SWINGS · 65' Vänersborgs FK win is now our likeliest result at 67% (was Draw 25%)
17. 66′We said Grebbestad at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 0–1 · 8–25–67
18. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Grebbestad win: 56% at kick-off, 6% now
19. 70′Grebbestad find the net on 70′. 1–1. 1–1 · 29–55–16
20. 70′We said Grebbestad at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–55–16
21. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Grebbestad 1–1 Vänersborgs FK
22. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Grebbestad win: 56% at kick-off, 29% now
23. 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Draw is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Vänersborgs FK win 16%)
24. 71′Grebbestad find the net on 69′. 1–1. 1–1 · 28–57–15
25. 75′We said Grebbestad at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–63–13
26. 79′We said Grebbestad at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–70–11
27. 80′A goal for Vänersborgs FK on 79′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 2–16–82
28. 80′We said Grebbestad at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 2%. 1–2 · 2–16–82
29. 80′Goals are coming at about the 3.2 we expected. 1–2 · 2–16–82
30. 80′⚽ GOAL · 79' Grebbestad 1–2 Vänersborgs FK
31. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Grebbestad win: 56% at kick-off, 2% now
32. 80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Vänersborgs FK win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 16%)
33. 82′Grebbestad score on 82′ to make it 2–2. 2–2 · 15–77–8
34. 82′4 goals already, more than the 3.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 15–77–8
35. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Grebbestad 2–2 Vänersborgs FK
36. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Grebbestad win: 56% at kick-off, 15% now
37. 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Draw is now our likeliest result at 77% (was Vänersborgs FK win 8%)
38. 83′We said Grebbestad at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 2–2 · 13–79–8
39. 87′Vänersborgs FK find the net on 87′. 2–3. 2–3 · 0–9–91
40. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Grebbestad 2–3 Vänersborgs FK
41. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Grebbestad win: 56% at kick-off, under 1% now
42. 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Vänersborgs FK win is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Draw 9%)
43. 88′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.2 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 0–8–92
44. FTFULL TIME Grebbestad 2–3 Vänersborgs FK
45. FTGrebbestad 2–3 Vänersborgs FK · Grebbestad win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.