Piteå W v Eskilstuna United W prediction · Damallsvenskan

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Piteå WDrawEskilstuna United W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Piteå W 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Piteå W are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Piteå W 42%, draw 27%, Eskilstuna United W 31%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 40%.

The AI’s read on Piteå W v Eskilstuna United WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Piteå W win42%

Draw27%

Eskilstuna United W win31%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 24

VenueLF Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Piteå W

Eskilstuna United W

13Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Damallsvenskan

Last match: 24 Oct · Damallsvenskan

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Eskilstuna United W	23	−9	30
10	Piteå W	22	−7	24

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · piteå w winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Piteå W a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Piteå W v Eskilstuna United W~~1.17 – 0.96

~~Form · last six in Damallsvenskan this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W1 D0 L5

~~Table places · points 24 v 30~~10 v 8

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Piteå W win	42%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Eskilstuna United W win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	36%	–	–
Both teams to score	40%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	61%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	17%	–	–
Piteå W or draw	69%	–	–
Piteå W clean sheet	39%	–	–
Eskilstuna United W clean sheet	32%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.0%

0123450 11.4 12.6 5.5 1 15.0 11.7 6.2 2.0 2 8.1 7.5 3.6 3 3.2 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Piteå W down, Eskilstuna United W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,025 Damallsvenskan matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Damallsvenskan matches have gone over 2.5 in 58.5% of games this season, across 159 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 2.83 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Piteå W at home: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Eskilstuna United W away: 1.17 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.17 goals for Piteå W, 0.96 for Eskilstuna United W. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.83

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~ESK 2–0 PIT · ESK 1–3 PIT · PIT 1–2 ESK · ESK 2–1 PIT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Damallsvenskan this season · since 5 Sept

PITEÅ W

WLDLDL2–0 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 2–3

ESKILSTUNA UNITED W

LLLLLW0–1 · 0–3 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 2–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Häcken W	23	+61	64
2	Hammarby W	23	+41	56
3	Malmö FF W	23	+28	45
4	Kristianstad W	23	+7	35
5	AIK W	22	0	34
6	Vittsjö W	22	+1	32
7	Brommapojkarna W	23	−8	32
8	Eskilstuna United W	23	−9	30
9	Djurgården W	23	−9	27
10	Piteå W	22	−7	24
11	Rosengård W	22	−3	23
12	Norrköping W	23	−12	23
13	Växjö W	23	−21	18
14	Uppsala W	23	−69	6