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Malmö FF W v AIK W
Malmö FF W
AIK WDamallsvenskan · SAT 17 OCT · Eleda Stadion
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Malmö FF W win at 67%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Malmö FF W v AIK W
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Malmö FF W 67% before kick-off, 66% now. 0–0 · 66–19–15
- 8′A goal for Malmö FF W on 7′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 85–11–4
- 8′⚽ GOAL · 7' Malmö FF W 1–0 AIK W
- 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Malmö FF W win: 67% at kick-off, 85% now
- 9′We said Malmö FF W at 67% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–11–4
- 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' Malmö FF W 1–1 AIK W
- 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Malmö FF W win: 67% at kick-off, 64% now
- 16′11′: daniella famili on the scoresheet for AIK W, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 62–22–15
- 22′We said Malmö FF W at 67% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 2–1 · 84–12–4
- 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Malmö FF W 2–1 AIK W
- 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Malmö FF W win: 67% at kick-off, 84% now
- 25′Malmö FF W ahead on 21′ through Isabella D’Aquila. 2–1. 2–1 · 84–12–4
- 30′3 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 84–12–4
- 35′We said Malmö FF W at 67% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 3–1 · 97–3–1
- 35′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 97–3–1
- 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Malmö FF W 3–1 AIK W
- 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Malmö FF W win: 67% at kick-off, 97% now
- 41′Amy Sayer scores for Malmö FF W on 34′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 97–3–0
- 45′HALF-TIME Malmö FF W 3–1 AIK W
- 46′SECOND HALF Malmö FF W 3–1 AIK W
- 49′5 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 85–12–3
- 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Malmö FF W 3–2 AIK W
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Malmö FF W win: 67% at kick-off, 85% now
- 50′48′: Matilda Plan on the scoresheet for AIK W, making it 3–2. 3–2 · 85–12–3
- 60′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Nova selin · AIK W
- 60′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Charlotte Grant · Malmö FF W
- 73′We said Malmö FF W at 67% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 3–2 · 90–9–1
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Malmö FF W · On: Vesna Milivojevic · Off: tuva skoog
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Malmö FF W · On: Hlin·Eiriksdottir · Off: stinalisa johansson
- 77′AIK W have had 13 attempts to 8 and it is still 3–2. 3–2 · 91–8–1
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Malmö FF W · On: Nellie Lilja · Off: Amy Sayer
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 82' AIK W · On: ida bjornberg · Off: Anna Oskarsson
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Malmö FF W win: 67% at kick-off, 97% now
- 92′18 shots for AIK W, 10 the other way, and they still trail 3–2. 3–2 · 98–2–0
- 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90' Malmö FF W
- FTFULL TIME Malmö FF W 3–2 AIK W
- FTMalmö FF W 3–2 AIK W · Malmö FF W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassMalmö FF W are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Malmö FF W 67%, draw 18%, AIK W 15%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 49%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Malmö FF W win67%
AIK W win15%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00
RoundMatchday 22
VenueEleda Stadion
Match timeline
All events
Malmö FF WMIN
AIK WEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Malmö FF W
4-2-3-1
AIK W
4-1-4-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Malmö FF W
AIK W
Last match: 4 Oct · Damallsvenskan
Last match: 4 Oct · Damallsvenskan
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Malmö FF W
4-2-3-1
1 Z. Musovic
3 C. Grant
4 E. Lofqvist
15 A. Martensson
18 C. Nevin
21 A. Sayer
8 M. Persson
19 L. Russell
10 I. D'Aquila
7 S. Johansson
16 T. Skoog
Coach · Jonas Valfridsson
Substitutes
31 · K. Krammer
6 · N. Lilja
9 · H. Eiriksdottir
11 · V. Milivojevic
17 · K. Olesen
25 · M. Khatawi
29 · A. Lindstrom
33 · H. Lupton
AIK W
4-1-4-1
21 E. Dannback
22 A. Oscarsson
4 J. Nordin
23 E. Reidy
26 J. Ragnarsson
13 D. Famili
5 H. Tabata
8 D. Hashemi
10 N. Selin
15 A. Halldorsdottir
29 M. Plan
Coach · Lukas Syberyjski
Substitutes
18 · E. Agnekil
30 · F. Ahlin
3 · T. Mattsson
25 · O. Lindstedt
7 · E. Junetoft
11 · I. Bjornberg
20 · A. Bogucka
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Malmö FF W
4-2-3-1
1 Z. Musovic
3 C. Grant
4 E. Lofqvist
15 A. Martensson
18 C. Nevin
21 A. Sayer
8 M. Persson
19 L. Russell
10 I. D'Aquila
7 S. Johansson
16 T. Skoog
Coach · Jonas Valfridsson
Substitutes
31 · K. Krammer
6 · N. Lilja
9 · H. Eiriksdottir
11 · V. Milivojevic
17 · K. Olesen
25 · M. Khatawi
29 · A. Lindstrom
33 · H. Lupton
AIK W
4-1-4-1
21 E. Dannback
22 A. Oscarsson
4 J. Nordin
23 E. Reidy
26 J. Ragnarsson
13 D. Famili
5 H. Tabata
8 D. Hashemi
10 N. Selin
15 A. Halldorsdottir
29 M. Plan
Coach · Lukas Syberyjski
Substitutes
18 · E. Agnekil
30 · F. Ahlin
3 · T. Mattsson
25 · O. Lindstedt
7 · E. Junetoft
11 · I. Bjornberg
20 · A. Bogucka
We make Malmö FF W a 67% chance to win. The market has them at 60%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 60% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malmö FF W win | 67% | 60% | +7 |
| Draw | 18% | 22% | −4 |
| AIK W win | 15% | 18% | −3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 58% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 49% | 55% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 79% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 37% | −3 |
| Malmö FF W or draw | 85% | 82% | +3 |
| Malmö FF W clean sheet | 43% | – | – |
| AIK W clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2024Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Damallsvenskan this season · since 29 Aug
MALMÖ FF W
AIK W
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Häcken W | 21 | +57 | 58 |
| 2 | Hammarby W | 21 | +41 | 53 |
| 3 | Malmö FF W | 21 | +26 | 39 |
| 4 | AIK W | 21 | +1 | 34 |
| 5 | Kristianstad W | 21 | +3 | 32 |
| 6 | Vittsjö W | 21 | +3 | 32 |
| 7 | Brommapojkarna W | 21 | −8 | 29 |
| 8 | Eskilstuna United W | 21 | −9 | 27 |
| 9 | Piteå W | 21 | −6 | 24 |
| 10 | Djurgården W | 21 | −7 | 24 |
| 11 | Rosengård W | 21 | −5 | 20 |
| 12 | Växjö W | 21 | −19 | 18 |
| 13 | Norrköping W | 21 | −18 | 17 |
| 14 | Uppsala W | 21 | −59 | 6 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Häcken W
Hammarby W
Kristianstad W
Vittsjö W
Brommapojkarna W
Eskilstuna United W
Piteå W
Djurgården W
Rosengård W
Växjö W
Norrköping W
Uppsala W