Djurgården W v Piteå W

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Djurgården W win at 46%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Djurgården W 46% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 46–24–30
3. 1′KICK-OFF Djurgården W v Piteå W
4. 12′🟨 YELLOW · 11' Piteå W
5. 14′We said Djurgården W at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–24–56
6. 14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Djurgården W 0–1 Piteå W
7. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 14' Djurgården W win: 46% at kick-off, 19% now
8. 14′THE CALL SWINGS · 14' Piteå W win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Djurgården W win 19%)
9. 17′Piteå W find the net on 14′. 0–1. 0–1 · 19–24–57
10. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Djurgården W win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 15–25–60
12. 34′We said Djurgården W at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–25–61
13. 36′SUBSTITUTION · 30' Piteå W · On: josefine johansson · Off: Shiho Matsubara Corrected
14. 36′SUBSTITUTION · 30' Piteå W · On: matilda ekblom · Off: Cecilia·Edlund Corrected
15. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Djurgården W 1–1 Piteå W
16. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Djurgården W win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
17. 45′HALF-TIME Djurgården W 1–1 Piteå W
18. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Piteå W win 25%)
19. 46′SECOND HALF Djurgården W 1–1 Piteå W
20. 47′A goal for Djurgården W on 45′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 35–41–25
21. 49′We said Djurgården W at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–42–24
22. 57′We said Djurgården W at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 2–1 · 78–18–4
23. 57′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 78–18–4
24. 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Djurgården W 2–1 Piteå W
25. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Djurgården W win: 46% at kick-off, 78% now
26. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Djurgården W win is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Draw 18%)
27. 61′57′: Maho Hirosawa on the scoresheet for Djurgården W, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 79–17–3
28. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Djurgården W · On: freyja stefansdottir · Off: Maho Hirosawa Corrected
29. 62′We said Djurgården W at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
30. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Piteå W
31. 72′We said Djurgården W at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
32. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Djurgården W win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
33. 75′10 shots for Piteå W, 5 the other way, and they still trail 2–1. 2–1 · 86–12–1
34. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Djurgården W · On: Lucia Duras · Off: Johanna Renmark Corrected
35. 79′PENALTY MISSED · 76' Asla Johannesen · Piteå W
36. 80′We said Djurgården W at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
37. 81′We said Djurgården W at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 3–1 · 99–0–0
38. 81′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 99–0–0
39. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Djurgården W 3–1 Piteå W
40. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Djurgården W win: 46% at kick-off, 99% now
41. 82′We said Djurgården W at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
42. 87′Djurgården W ahead on 79′ through elin westlund. 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
43. 93′5 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 98–2–0
44. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Djurgården W 3–2 Piteå W
45. FTFULL TIME Djurgården W 3–2 Piteå W
46. FTDjurgården W 3–2 Piteå W · Djurgården W win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.