Sirius v IF Elfsborg

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sirius win at 48%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Sirius 48% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–22–30
3. 1′KICK-OFF Sirius v IF Elfsborg
4. 20′We said Sirius at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 22%. 0–1 · 22–23–55
5. 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Sirius 0–1 IF Elfsborg
6. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Sirius win: 48% at kick-off, 22% now
7. 20′THE CALL SWINGS · 20' IF Elfsborg win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Sirius win 22%)
8. 22′20′: Julius Beck on the scoresheet for IF Elfsborg, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 22–23–56
9. 30′We said Sirius at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–23–57
10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 0–1 · 19–23–57
11. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Sirius win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
12. 41′🟨 YELLOW · 39' Ari Sigurpalsson · IF Elfsborg
13. 45′We said Sirius at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–24–61
14. 45′SECOND HALF Sirius 0–1 IF Elfsborg
15. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Victor Svensson · Sirius
16. 46′HALF-TIME Sirius 0–1 IF Elfsborg
17. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Thomas Isherwood · IF Elfsborg
18. 59′We said Sirius at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–67
19. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Sirius · On: Adam Vikman · Off: Victor Svensson
20. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 62' Sirius win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
21. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' IF Elfsborg · On: Ossian nordvall · Off: Simon Olsson
22. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' IF Elfsborg · On: Arbër Zeneli · Off: Ari Sigurpalsson
23. 70′We said Sirius at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 26%. 1–1 · 26–54–19
24. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Sirius 1–1 IF Elfsborg
25. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Sirius win: 48% at kick-off, 26% now
26. 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Draw is now our likeliest result at 54% (was IF Elfsborg win 19%)
27. 71′Sirius level it on 70′ through Joakim Persson. 1–1. 1–1 · 25–56–19
28. 73′We said Sirius at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 2–1 · 82–15–2
29. 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Sirius 2–1 IF Elfsborg
30. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Sirius win: 48% at kick-off, 82% now
31. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Sirius win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 15%)
32. 75′Joakim Persson scores for Sirius on 73′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 84–14–2
33. 77′We said Sirius at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
34. 79′🟨 YELLOW · 78' Mohamed Soumah · Sirius
35. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Sirius win: 48% at kick-off, 88% now
36. 82′We said Sirius at 48% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
37. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Sirius · On: Otso Liimatta · Off: Ake Andersson
38. 87′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 8–85–6
39. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Sirius 2–2 IF Elfsborg
40. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Sirius win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
41. 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Draw is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Sirius win 8%)
42. 90′87′: Leo Hakan Ostman on the scoresheet for IF Elfsborg, making it 2–2. 2–2 · 6–90–4
43. 92′We said Sirius at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–3
44. 93′2–2 at the end. Our 48% on Sirius misses, and the record keeps it. 2–2 · 0–100–0
45. FTFULL TIME Sirius 2–2 IF Elfsborg
46. FTSirius 2–2 IF Elfsborg · Sirius win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.