Orgryte IS v Gais

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Gais win at 52%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Gais was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 24–25–52
3. 1′KICK-OFF Orgryte IS v Gais
4. 20′We said Gais at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 1–0 · 52–26–22
5. 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Orgryte IS 1–0 Gais
6. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' Gais win: 52% at kick-off, 22% now
7. 20′THE CALL SWINGS · 20' Orgryte IS win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Gais win 22%)
8. 22′A goal for Orgryte IS on 21′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 53–26–22
9. 29′We said Gais at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 54–26–19
10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 55–26–19
11. 40′⚽ GOAL · 40' Orgryte IS 1–1 Gais
12. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Gais win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
13. 40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Gais win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Orgryte IS win 22%)
14. 43′42′: Anes Cardaklija on the scoresheet for Gais, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 21–38–41
15. 43′41′: Anes Cardaklija on the scoresheet for Gais, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 21–38–41
16. 45′We said Gais at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 1–1 · 21–39–40
17. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 44' Robin Frej · Gais
18. 45′SECOND HALF Orgryte IS 1–1 Gais
19. 47′We said Gais at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 21–40–39
20. 47′HALF-TIME Orgryte IS 1–1 Gais
21. 48′We published Gais at 52%. Our model now makes it 79%. 1–2 · 4–16–79
22. 48′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 4–16–79
23. 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Orgryte IS 1–2 Gais
24. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Gais win: 52% at kick-off, 79% now
25. 49′Gais ahead on 48′ through Robin Wendin Thomasson. 1–2. 1–2 · 4–16–79
26. 50′We published Gais at 52%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–2 · 4–16–80
27. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Gais win: 52% at kick-off, 82% now
28. 60′We said Gais at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 2–2 · 18–49–33
29. 60′Tobias Sana scores for Orgryte IS on 60′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 18–49–33
30. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Orgryte IS 2–2 Gais
31. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Gais win: 52% at kick-off, 33% now
32. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Gais win 33%)
33. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Gais · On: Melvin Andersson · Off: Rasmus Niklasson Petrovic
34. 61′4 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 18–50–32
35. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Gais win: 52% at kick-off, 32% now
36. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Gais · On: Matteo de Brienne · Off: Robin Wendin Thomasson
37. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Gais · On: Henry Sletsjoe · Off: Christos Gravius
38. 65′We said Gais at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 17–54–29
39. 67′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Simon Jørgensen · Gais
40. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Gais · On: Nikola·Vasic · Off: Samuel Salter
41. 71′We said Gais at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 3–2 · 76–20–4
42. 71′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 76–20–4
43. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Orgryte IS · On: Viktor Ekblom · Off: Liam Filip Andersson
44. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Orgryte IS 3–2 Gais
45. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Gais win: 52% at kick-off, 4% now
46. 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Orgryte IS win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 20%)
47. 73′70′: Viktor Ekblom on the scoresheet for Orgryte IS, making it 3–2. 3–2 · 77–19–3
48. 74′6 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 4–2 · 97–3–0
49. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Orgryte IS 4–2 Gais
50. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Gais win: 52% at kick-off, under 1% now
51. 75′Orgryte IS ahead on 74′ through Viktor Ekblom. 4–2. 4–2 · 97–2–0
52. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Gais · On: Jonas Lindberg · Off: Oscar Pettersson
53. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Daniel Paulson · Orgryte IS
54. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Orgryte IS · On: Adam Andersson · Off: michael parker
55. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Orgryte IS · On: Anton Andreasson · Off: Charlie Vindehall
56. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Orgryte IS · On: Johan Hammar · Off: Tobias Sana
57. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Orgryte IS · On: William Kenndal · Off: Daniel Paulson
58. 94′Full time, 4–2. We called Gais at 52% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 4–2 · 100–0–0
59. FTFULL TIME Orgryte IS 4–2 Gais
60. FTOrgryte IS 4–2 Gais · Gais win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.