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Halmstad v Hammarby FF
Halmstad
Hammarby FFAllsvenskan · SUN 18 OCT · Orjans Vall
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Hammarby FF win at 65%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Hammarby FF was 65% before kick-off and our model makes it 65% now. 0–0 · 14–21–65
- 1′KICK-OFF Halmstad v Hammarby FF
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Hammarby FF win: 65% at kick-off, 55% now
- 36′7 shots for Hammarby FF, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 15–32–54
- 37′We said Hammarby FF at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 53%. 0–0 · 15–32–53
- 45′We said Hammarby FF at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 15–36–49
- 45′Hammarby FF have had 8 attempts to 2 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 15–36–49
- 45′HALF-TIME Halmstad 0–0 Hammarby FF
- 46′Hammarby FF have had 12 attempts to 2 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 14–37–49
- 46′SECOND HALF Halmstad 0–0 Hammarby FF
- 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Halmstad · On: Joel Allansson · Off: Aleksander Nilsson
- 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Hammarby FF win: 65% at kick-off, 45% now
- 54′We said Hammarby FF at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 14–42–44
- 55′We expected about 2.7 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 14–43–43
- 56′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Rocco Ascone · Halmstad
- 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Hammarby FF win 41%)
- 60′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Tom Trybull · Halmstad
- 61′We said Hammarby FF at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 13–48–39
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Hammarby FF win: 65% at kick-off, 35% now
- 67′We said Hammarby FF at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 12–55–34
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Halmstad · On: Malte Persson · Off: Ajdin Zeljkovic
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Hammarby FF · On: Filip Jakobsson · Off: Frank Junior Adjei Corrected
- 71′Hammarby FF have had 16 attempts to 3 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 10–60–30
- 72′We said Hammarby FF at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 10–61–28
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Hammarby FF win: 65% at kick-off, 25% now
- 76′We said Hammarby FF at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 9–68–24
- 80′We said Hammarby FF at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 7–75–18
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Hammarby FF win: 65% at kick-off, 15% now
- 83′We said Hammarby FF at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 5–82–13
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Halmstad · On: Marvin Illary · Off: Hussein Carneil
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Halmstad · On: Niilo Mäenpää · Off: Rocco Ascone
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Hammarby FF · On: Nahir Besara · Off: Paulos Abraham
- 87′We said Hammarby FF at 65%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 3–88–9
- 91′We published Hammarby FF at 65%. Our model now makes it 98%. 0–1 · 0–2–98
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Hammarby FF win: 65% at kick-off, 5% now
- 91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Halmstad 0–1 Hammarby FF
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Hammarby FF win: 65% at kick-off, 98% now
- 91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' Hammarby FF win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 2%)
- 92′90′: Noah Karl Anders Persson on the scoresheet for Hammarby FF, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 0–2–98
- FTFULL TIME Halmstad 0–1 Hammarby FF
- FTHalmstad 0–1 Hammarby FF · Hammarby FF win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Hammarby FF are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Halmstad 14%, draw 21%, Hammarby FF 65%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 46%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Halmstad win14%
Hammarby FF win65%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 15:30
RoundMatchday 24
VenueOrjans Vall
RefereeSars Joakim
Match timeline
All events
HalmstadMIN
Hammarby FFEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Halmstad
4-1-4-1
Hammarby FF
4-3-3
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Halmstad
Hammarby FF
Last match: 12 Oct · Allsvenskan
Last match: 11 Oct · Allsvenskan
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Halmstad
4-1-4-1
1 T. Rönning
17 A. Boman
5 P. Gregor
16 E. Tõugjas
24 R. Kaib
28 T. Trybull
11 L. Arvidsson
23 A. Zeljkovic
27 R. Ascone
25 A. Damnjanovic Nilsson
14 H. Carneil
Coach · S. Baxter
Substitutes
6 · J. Allansson
9 · O. Faraj
19 · M. Illary
22 · Oliver Kapsimalis
8 · N. Mäenpää
18 · Malte Persson
4 · F. Schyberg
3 · G. Wallentin
35 · A. Wihed
Hammarby FF
4-3-3
27 F. Jakobsson
16 N. Persson
3 F. Winther
6 I. Fofana
2 E. Skoglund
28 F. Adjei
8 M. Karlsson
5 T. Tekie
26 M. Madjed
7 P. Abraham
9 V. Lind
Coach · H. Rydström
Substitutes
24 · W. Renecke
21 · Sourou Kone
34 · Filip Jakobsson
1 · W. Hahn
20 · N. Besara
45 · Felix Gertell Bjernvall
42 · O. Moczarny
31 · O. Steinke Branby
47 · Hampus Thorsson
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Halmstad
4-1-4-1
1 T. Rönning
17 A. Boman
5 P. Gregor
16 E. Tõugjas
24 R. Kaib
28 T. Trybull
11 L. Arvidsson
23 A. Zeljkovic
27 R. Ascone
25 A. Damnjanovic Nilsson
14 H. Carneil
Coach · S. Baxter
Substitutes
6 · J. Allansson
9 · O. Faraj
19 · M. Illary
22 · Oliver Kapsimalis
8 · N. Mäenpää
18 · Malte Persson
4 · F. Schyberg
3 · G. Wallentin
35 · A. Wihed
Hammarby FF
4-3-3
27 F. Jakobsson
16 N. Persson
3 F. Winther
6 I. Fofana
2 E. Skoglund
28 F. Adjei
8 M. Karlsson
5 T. Tekie
26 M. Madjed
7 P. Abraham
9 V. Lind
Coach · H. Rydström
Substitutes
24 · W. Renecke
21 · Sourou Kone
34 · Filip Jakobsson
1 · W. Hahn
20 · N. Besara
45 · Felix Gertell Bjernvall
42 · O. Moczarny
31 · O. Steinke Branby
47 · Hampus Thorsson
We make Hammarby FF a 65% chance to win. The market has them at 76%. We are 11 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.8–2.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 64%, 65% now. The market has gone from 77% to 76% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Halmstad win | 14% | 9% | +5 |
| Draw | 21% | 15% | +6 |
| Hammarby FF win | 65% | 76% | −11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 67% | −16 |
| Both teams to score | 46% | 51% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 84% | −9 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 46% | −17 |
| Halmstad or draw | 35% | 24% | +11 |
| Halmstad clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
| Hammarby FF clean sheet | 46% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
9 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Allsvenskan this season · since 22 Aug
HALMSTAD
HAMMARBY FF
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 23 | +25 | 54 |
| 2 | Djurgardens IF | 24 | +29 | 47 |
| 3 | Hammarby FF | 23 | +28 | 43 |
| 4 | IF Elfsborg | 23 | +13 | 40 |
| 5 | BK Hacken | 23 | +12 | 39 |
| 6 | Malmo FF | 23 | +5 | 36 |
| 7 | IFK Goteborg | 24 | −9 | 36 |
| 8 | Vasteras SK FK | 23 | −2 | 35 |
| 9 | AIK Stockholm | 24 | −4 | 34 |
| 10 | Gais | 23 | +7 | 30 |
| 11 | IF Brommapojkarna | 24 | −7 | 30 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 23 | −11 | 23 |
| 13 | Degerfors IF | 23 | −15 | 20 |
| 14 | Kalmar FF | 23 | −16 | 19 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 23 | −27 | 15 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 23 | −28 | 14 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Sirius
Djurgardens IF
IF Elfsborg
BK Hacken
Malmo FF
IFK Goteborg
Vasteras SK FK
AIK Stockholm
Gais
IF Brommapojkarna
Mjallby AIF
Degerfors IF
Kalmar FF
Orgryte IS