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Djurgardens IF v Orgryte IS
Djurgardens IF
Orgryte ISAllsvenskan · SAT 24 OCT · 3Arena
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Djurgardens IF win at 74%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Djurgardens IF 74% before kick-off, 74% now. 0–0 · 74–15–11
- 1′KICK-OFF Djurgardens IF v Orgryte IS
- 7′We said Djurgardens IF at 74% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 1–0 · 89–8–3
- 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Djurgardens IF 1–0 Orgryte IS
- 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' Djurgardens IF win: 74% at kick-off, 89% now
- 8′A goal for Djurgardens IF on 8′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 89–8–3
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.5 we expected. 1–0 · 88–9–3
- 45′SECOND HALF Djurgardens IF 1–0 Orgryte IS
- 49′HALF-TIME Djurgardens IF 1–0 Orgryte IS
- 59′We said Djurgardens IF at 74% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 2–0 · 98–2–0
- 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Djurgardens IF 2–0 Orgryte IS
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Djurgardens IF win: 74% at kick-off, 98% now
- 62′60′: Bo Åsulv Hegland on the scoresheet for Djurgardens IF, making it 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Djurgardens IF · On: Oskar Fallenius · Off: Patric Aslund
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Orgryte IS · On: william hofvander · Off: michael parker Corrected
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Orgryte IS · On: Viktor Ekblom · Off: Charlie Vindehall
- 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Orgryte IS · On: Adam Andersson · Off: Daniel Paulson
- 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Djurgardens IF 2–1 Orgryte IS
- 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Djurgardens IF win: 74% at kick-off, 89% now
- 67′Orgryte IS pull one back on 66′ through william hofvander. 2–1. 2–1 · 89–10–1
- 70′We said Djurgardens IF at 74% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Djurgardens IF · On: Peter Langhoff · Off: Daniel Stensson
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Djurgardens IF · On: Christos Almyras · Off: Bo Åsulv Hegland
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Djurgardens IF · On: Charlie Rosenquist · Off: Jeppe Okkels
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Djurgardens IF · On: Piotr Johansson · Off: Max Larsson
- 80′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Jacob Une Larsson · Djurgardens IF
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Djurgardens IF win: 74% at kick-off, 94% now
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Orgryte IS · On: Marlon Ebietomere · Off: michael parker
- 90′We said Djurgardens IF at 74%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 2–2 · 8–89–3
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Djurgardens IF 2–2 Orgryte IS
- 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Djurgardens IF win: 74% at kick-off, 8% now
- 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Draw is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Djurgardens IF win 97%)
- 91′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 7–91–2
- 92′Viktor Ekblom scores for Orgryte IS on 90′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 6–93–2
- 93′We said Djurgardens IF at 74%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–94–1
- 93′2–2 at the end. Our 74% on Djurgardens IF misses, and the record keeps it. 2–2 · 0–100–0
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Djurgardens IF win: 74% at kick-off, 4% now
- FTFULL TIME Djurgardens IF 2–2 Orgryte IS
- FTDjurgardens IF 2–2 Orgryte IS · Djurgardens IF win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Djurgardens IF are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Djurgardens IF 74%, draw 15%, Orgryte IS 11%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 53%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Djurgardens IF win74%
Orgryte IS win11%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 16:30
RoundMatchday 25
Venue3Arena
RefereeRichard Sundell
Match timeline
All events
Djurgardens IFMIN
Orgryte ISEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Djurgardens IF
4-2-3-1
Orgryte IS
5-3-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Djurgardens IF
Orgryte IS
Last match: 16 Oct · Allsvenskan
Last match: 18 Oct · Allsvenskan
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Djurgardens IF
4-2-3-1
35 J. Rinne
18 A. Ståhl
21 M. Marques
4 J. Une-Larsson
24 M. Larsson
13 D. Stensson
20 M. Siltanen
8 P. Åslund
16 Bo Åsulv Hegland
19 J. Okkels
9 K. Lien
Coach · Jani Honkavaara
Substitutes
10 · Abdul Abdulmalik
7 · Christos Almyras
28 · A. Andersson
11 · O. Fallenius
2 · P. Johansson
6 · P. Langhoff
27 · S. Ringberg
14 · C. Rosenquist
30 · Lukas Henrik Jonsson
Orgryte IS
5-3-2
44 H. Gustafsson
14 D. Paulson
33 S. Lagerlund
6 M. Dyrestam
5 C. Styffe
2 M. Parker
23 O. Parker-Price
7 C. Vindehall
8 B. Laturnus
9 L. Andersson
22 T. Sana
Coach · A. Holmberg
Substitutes
25 · J. Hammar
17 · W. Hofvander
21 · W. Kenndal
34 · A. Rahm
29 · Marlon Ebietomere
32 · Viktor Ekblom
3 · J. Azulay
19 · A. Andreasson
18 · A. Andersson
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Djurgardens IF
4-2-3-1
35 J. Rinne
18 A. Ståhl
21 M. Marques
4 J. Une-Larsson
24 M. Larsson
13 D. Stensson
20 M. Siltanen
8 P. Åslund
16 Bo Åsulv Hegland
19 J. Okkels
9 K. Lien
Coach · Jani Honkavaara
Substitutes
10 · Abdul Abdulmalik
7 · Christos Almyras
28 · A. Andersson
11 · O. Fallenius
2 · P. Johansson
6 · P. Langhoff
27 · S. Ringberg
14 · C. Rosenquist
30 · Lukas Henrik Jonsson
Orgryte IS
5-3-2
44 H. Gustafsson
14 D. Paulson
33 S. Lagerlund
6 M. Dyrestam
5 C. Styffe
2 M. Parker
23 O. Parker-Price
7 C. Vindehall
8 B. Laturnus
9 L. Andersson
22 T. Sana
Coach · A. Holmberg
Substitutes
25 · J. Hammar
17 · W. Hofvander
21 · W. Kenndal
34 · A. Rahm
29 · Marlon Ebietomere
32 · Viktor Ekblom
3 · J. Azulay
19 · A. Andreasson
18 · A. Andersson
We make Djurgardens IF a 74% chance to win. The market has them at 81%. We are 7 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.6–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 75%, 74% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 81% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgardens IF win | 74% | 81% | −7 |
| Draw | 15% | 12% | +3 |
| Orgryte IS win | 11% | 7% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 70% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 49% | +4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 86% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 50% | −4 |
| Djurgardens IF or draw | 89% | 93% | −4 |
| Djurgardens IF clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
| Orgryte IS clean sheet | 8% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Allsvenskan this season · since 30 Aug
DJURGARDENS IF
ORGRYTE IS
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 24 | +25 | 55 |
| 2 | Djurgardens IF | 24 | +29 | 47 |
| 3 | Hammarby FF | 24 | +29 | 46 |
| 4 | BK Hacken | 24 | +13 | 42 |
| 5 | IF Elfsborg | 25 | +13 | 42 |
| 6 | Vasteras SK FK | 25 | −2 | 38 |
| 7 | Malmo FF | 25 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 | IFK Goteborg | 24 | −9 | 36 |
| 9 | AIK Stockholm | 24 | −4 | 34 |
| 10 | Gais | 24 | +5 | 30 |
| 11 | IF Brommapojkarna | 24 | −7 | 30 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 24 | −12 | 23 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 24 | −15 | 22 |
| 14 | Degerfors IF | 24 | −16 | 20 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 24 | −25 | 18 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 25 | −28 | 17 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Sirius
Hammarby FF
BK Hacken
IF Elfsborg
Vasteras SK FK
Malmo FF
IFK Goteborg
AIK Stockholm
Gais
IF Brommapojkarna
Mjallby AIF
Kalmar FF
Degerfors IF
Halmstad