Home › Football › Allsvenskan › Degerfors IF v Kalmar FF
Back

Degerfors IF v Kalmar FF
Degerfors IF
Kalmar FFAllsvenskan · MON 19 OCT · Stora Valla
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Degerfors IF win at 39%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Degerfors IF v Kalmar FF
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Degerfors IF 39% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 38–27–34
- 2′We said Degerfors IF at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 0–1 · 17–21–62
- 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Degerfors IF 0–1 Kalmar FF
- 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 2' Degerfors IF win: 39% at kick-off, 17% now
- 2′THE CALL SWINGS · 2' Kalmar FF win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Degerfors IF win 38%)
- 3′A goal for Kalmar FF on 3′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 17–22–62
- 14′🟨 YELLOW · 13' Ahmad Faqa · Degerfors IF
- 16′We said Degerfors IF at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–22–63
- 17′We said Degerfors IF at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–10–86
- 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Degerfors IF 0–2 Kalmar FF
- 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 17' Degerfors IF win: 39% at kick-off, 4% now
- 18′17′: vilmer tyren on the scoresheet for Kalmar FF, making it 0–2. 0–2 · 4–10–86
- 41′We said Degerfors IF at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–22–68
- 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Degerfors IF 1–2 Kalmar FF
- 42′Degerfors IF pull one back on 41′ through Nahom Girmai. 1–2. 1–2 · 9–22–68
- 42′3 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 9–22–68
- 45′SECOND HALF Degerfors IF 1–2 Kalmar FF
- 46′HALF-TIME Degerfors IF 1–2 Kalmar FF
- 65′🟨 YELLOW · 64' gideon yaw yiriyon · Degerfors IF
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Degerfors IF · On: Karim Boutera · Off: Arman Taranis
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Degerfors IF · On: Samba Diatara · Off: Ahmad Faqa
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Degerfors IF · On: Elias Barsoum · Off: Noel Milleskog
- 67′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Miska Ylitolva · Kalmar FF
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Kalmar FF · On: Robert Gojani · Off: Melker Hallberg Corrected
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Kalmar FF · On: Alexander Almqvist · Off: Marius Soderback
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Kalmar FF · On: Kasper Paananen · Off: vilmer tyren
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Degerfors IF · On: Ludvig Fritzson · Off: gideon yaw yiriyon
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Degerfors IF · On: Robin Dzabic · Off: Dijan Vukojevic
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Kalmar FF · On: Eskild Dall · Off: Charles Sagoe Jr
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Kalmar FF · On: Sivert Overby · Off: Abdussalam Magashy
- 93′1–2 at the end. Our 39% on Degerfors IF misses, and the record keeps it. 1–2 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Degerfors IF 1–2 Kalmar FF
- FTDegerfors IF 1–2 Kalmar FF · Degerfors IF win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Degerfors IF just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Degerfors IF 39%, draw 27%, Kalmar FF 35%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 50%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 13 Oct 05:25 · locked at kick-off
Degerfors IF win39%
Kalmar FF win35%Kick-offMON 19 OCT · 18:00
RoundMatchday 24
VenueStora Valla
RefereeMohammed Al-Hakim
Match timeline
All events
Degerfors IFMIN
Kalmar FFEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Degerfors IF
5-3-2
Kalmar FF
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Degerfors IF
Kalmar FF
Last match: 10 Oct · Allsvenskan
Last match: 12 Oct · Allsvenskan
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Degerfors IF
5-3-2
38 M. Igonen
6 D. Sundgren
2 Ahmad Faqa
3 Nikolai Skuseth
13 M. Hamilton
16 S. Ohlsson
10 N. Milleskog
8 B. Hussein
22 N. Girmai Netabay
17 Arman Taranis
11 D. Vukojević
Coach · H. Goitom
Substitutes
9 · K. Boutera
20 · E. Barsoum
18 · S. Diatara
23 · R. Dzabic
14 · L. Fritzson
1 · W. Jakobsson
15 · N. Moro
7 · S. Ohlsson
28 · J. Hernandez
Kalmar FF
4-2-3-1
1 S. Brolin
26 M. Ylitolva
39 L. Sætra
4 J. Löfgren
2 V. Larsson
17 C. Gustafsson
5 M. Hallberg
10 M. Söderbäck
21 A. Magashy
24 C. Sagoe
6 V. Tyren
Coach · T. Koskela
Substitutes
20 · A. Almqvist
19 · E. Dall
22 · T. Lauritsen
3 · S. Øverby
11 · K. Paananen
23 · R. Gojani
25 · N. Shamoun
9 · M. Stolt
30 · J. Kindberg
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Degerfors IF
5-3-2
38 M. Igonen
6 D. Sundgren
2 Ahmad Faqa
3 Nikolai Skuseth
13 M. Hamilton
16 S. Ohlsson
10 N. Milleskog
8 B. Hussein
22 N. Girmai Netabay
17 Arman Taranis
11 D. Vukojević
Coach · H. Goitom
Substitutes
9 · K. Boutera
20 · E. Barsoum
18 · S. Diatara
23 · R. Dzabic
14 · L. Fritzson
1 · W. Jakobsson
15 · N. Moro
7 · S. Ohlsson
28 · J. Hernandez
Kalmar FF
4-2-3-1
1 S. Brolin
26 M. Ylitolva
39 L. Sætra
4 J. Löfgren
2 V. Larsson
17 C. Gustafsson
5 M. Hallberg
10 M. Söderbäck
21 A. Magashy
24 C. Sagoe
6 V. Tyren
Coach · T. Koskela
Substitutes
20 · A. Almqvist
19 · E. Dall
22 · T. Lauritsen
3 · S. Øverby
11 · K. Paananen
23 · R. Gojani
25 · N. Shamoun
9 · M. Stolt
30 · J. Kindberg
We make Degerfors IF a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 32%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 38%, 39% now. The market has gone from 35% to 32% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Degerfors IF win | 39% | 32% | +7 |
| Draw | 27% | 29% | −2 |
| Kalmar FF win | 35% | 39% | −4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 46% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 53% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 71% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 27% | −3 |
| Degerfors IF or draw | 65% | 61% | +4 |
| Degerfors IF clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
| Kalmar FF clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
7 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Allsvenskan this season · since 23 Aug
DEGERFORS IF
KALMAR FF
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 24 | +25 | 55 |
| 2 | Djurgardens IF | 24 | +29 | 47 |
| 3 | Hammarby FF | 24 | +29 | 46 |
| 4 | BK Hacken | 24 | +13 | 42 |
| 5 | IF Elfsborg | 24 | +13 | 41 |
| 6 | Vasteras SK FK | 24 | −1 | 38 |
| 7 | Malmo FF | 24 | +4 | 36 |
| 8 | IFK Goteborg | 24 | −9 | 36 |
| 9 | AIK Stockholm | 24 | −4 | 34 |
| 10 | Gais | 24 | +5 | 30 |
| 11 | IF Brommapojkarna | 24 | −7 | 30 |
| 12 | Mjallby AIF | 24 | −12 | 23 |
| 13 | Degerfors IF | 23 | −15 | 20 |
| 14 | Kalmar FF | 23 | −16 | 19 |
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 24 | −25 | 18 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 24 | −29 | 14 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Sirius
Djurgardens IF
Hammarby FF
BK Hacken
IF Elfsborg
Vasteras SK FK
Malmo FF
IFK Goteborg
AIK Stockholm
Gais
IF Brommapojkarna
Mjallby AIF
Orgryte IS
Halmstad