Transvaal v PVV prediction · Eerste Divisie

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

TransvaalDrawPVV

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 20:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Transvaal 47%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Transvaal are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Transvaal 47%, draw 26%, PVV 27%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Transvaal v PVVBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 02:31 · locked at kick-off

Transvaal win47%

Draw26%

PVV win27%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 20:00

RoundGroup stage

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Transvaal

PVV

7Days since last match3

Last match: 18 Oct · Eerste Divisie (Suriname)

Last match: 22 Oct · Eerste Divisie (Suriname)

1Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Transvaal	1	+1	3
11	PVV	3	−10	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · transvaal winFirst published 22 Oct 02:31 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Transvaal a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Transvaal v PVV~~1.51 – 1.06

~~Form · Eerste Divisie this season · since 11 Oct~~W1 D0 L0 · W0 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 3 v 0~~6 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Transvaal win	47%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
PVV win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	72%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Transvaal or draw	73%	–	–
Transvaal clean sheet	36%	–	–
PVV clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%

0123450 8.7 8.1 4.4 1 11.5 11.9 6.2 2.3 2 8.6 8.6 4.6 3 4.4 4.4 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Transvaal down, PVV across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 675 Eerste Divisie matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Eerste Divisie matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 9 previous meetings since 2019/20 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 9 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Transvaal at home: 0.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). PVV away: 1.17 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.51 goals for Transvaal, 1.06 for PVV. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2019/20

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 9

~~Both scored~~2 of 9

~~Last meetings~~TRA 2–0 PVV · PVV 0–1 TRA · PVV 1–0 TRA · TRA 2–1 PVV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Eerste Divisie this season · since 11 Oct

TRANSVAAL

W1–0

PVV

LLL0–4 · 0–4 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Leo Victor	3	+5	7
2	Robin Hood	2	+7	6
3	Inter Moengotapoe	2	+4	6
4	Notch	3	+3	4
5	Voorwaarts	3	+1	4
6	Transvaal	1	+1	3
7	Broki	2	−3	1
8	Flora	1	−1	0
9	Coronie Boys	1	−3	0
10	FC Inter Wanica	1	−4	0
11	PVV	3	−10	0