Robin Hood v Broki prediction · Eerste Divisie

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 03:24

Robin Hood 3–0 Broki ROBIN HOOD WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Robin Hood win~~80%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.063

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Robin Hood are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Robin Hood 80%, draw 13%, Broki 7%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Robin Hood v BrokiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Robin Hood win80%

Draw13%

Broki win7%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 23:00

RoundGroup stage

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Robin Hood

Broki

7Days since last match4

Last match: 11 Oct · Eerste Divisie (Suriname)

Last match: 14 Oct · Eerste Divisie (Suriname)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Robin Hood	1	+4	3
6	Broki	1	0	1

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · robin hood winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

80% The market–

Us80%

We make Robin Hood an 80% chance to win. The model expects 3.0–0.8, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Robin Hood v Broki~~2.95 – 0.79

~~Form · Eerste Divisie this season · since 11 Oct~~W1 D0 L0 · W0 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 3 v 1~~4 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Robin Hood win	80%	–	–
Draw	13%	–	–
Broki win	7%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	71%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	51%	–	–
Robin Hood or draw	93%	–	–
Robin Hood clean sheet	46%	–	–
Broki clean sheet	6%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.3%

0123450 2.9 1 7.3 5.7 2.2 2 10.3 7.8 3.1 3 9.9 7.5 3.0 4 7.3 5.5 2.2 5 4.4 3.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Robin Hood down, Broki across0–5 goals a side shown (91.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 672 Eerste Divisie matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Eerste Divisie matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 4.80 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Robin Hood at home: 1.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Broki away: 1.50 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.95 goals for Robin Hood, 0.79 for Broki. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~4.80

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~ROB 2–2 BRO · BRO 0–6 ROB · ROB 2–0 BRO · BRO 1–3 ROB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Eerste Divisie this season · since 11 Oct

ROBIN HOOD

W5–1

BROKI

D1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Inter Moengotapoe	2	+4	6
2	Leo Victor	2	+4	4
3	Notch	3	+3	4
4	Robin Hood	1	+4	3
5	Transvaal	1	+1	3
6	Broki	1	0	1
7	Voorwaarts	1	0	1
8	Flora	1	−1	0
9	Coronie Boys	1	−3	0
10	FC Inter Wanica	1	−4	0
11	PVV	2	−8	0