Leo Victor v Voorwaarts prediction · Eerste Divisie

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 05:30

Leo Victor 2–1 Voorwaarts VOORWAARTS WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Voorwaarts win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.674

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Voorwaarts are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Leo Victor 33%, draw 27%, Voorwaarts 40%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Leo Victor v VoorwaartsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Leo Victor win33%

Draw27%

Voorwaarts win40%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 20:30

RoundGroup stage

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Leo Victor

Voorwaarts

3Days since last match4

Last match: 15 Oct · Eerste Divisie (Suriname)

Last match: 14 Oct · Eerste Divisie (Suriname)

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Leo Victor	2	+4	4
7	Voorwaarts	1	0	1

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · voorwaarts winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · updated 15 Oct 04:59 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Voorwaarts a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Leo Victor v Voorwaarts~~1.23 – 1.38

~~Form · Eerste Divisie this season · since 11 Oct~~W1 D1 L0 · W0 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 4 v 1~~2 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Voorwaarts win

Published at 41%, 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Leo Victor win	33%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Voorwaarts win	40%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
Leo Victor or draw	60%	–	–
Leo Victor clean sheet	26%	–	–
Voorwaarts clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.2%

0123450 8.1 10.0 6.9 3.3 1 9.0 12.2 8.2 3.9 2 5.6 7.3 5.0 2.4 3 2.4 3.1 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Leo Victor down, Voorwaarts across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 672 Eerste Divisie matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Eerste Divisie matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.20 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Leo Victor at home: 1.67 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Voorwaarts away: 2.50 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.23 goals for Leo Victor, 1.38 for Voorwaarts. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.20

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~VOO 1–0 LEO · LEO 1–2 VOO · VOO 2–3 LEO · VOO 2–1 LEO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Eerste Divisie this season · since 11 Oct

LEO VICTOR

WD4–0 · 0–0

VOORWAARTS

D1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Inter Moengotapoe	2	+4	6
2	Leo Victor	2	+4	4
3	Notch	3	+3	4
4	Robin Hood	1	+4	3
5	Transvaal	1	+1	3
6	Broki	1	0	1
7	Voorwaarts	1	0	1
8	Flora	1	−1	0
9	Coronie Boys	1	−3	0
10	FC Inter Wanica	1	−4	0
11	PVV	2	−8	0