Leo Victor v Robin Hood prediction · Eerste Divisie

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Leo VictorDrawRobin Hood

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 19:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Robin Hood 62%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Robin Hood are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Leo Victor 16%, draw 22%, Robin Hood 62%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Leo Victor v Robin HoodBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Leo Victor win16%

Draw22%

Robin Hood win62%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 19:30

RoundGroup stage

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Leo Victor

Robin Hood

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Eerste Divisie (Suriname)

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Leo Victor	3	+5	7
2	Robin Hood	2	+7	6

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · robin hood winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

62% The market–

Us62%

We make Robin Hood a 62% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–2.0, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Leo Victor v Robin Hood~~0.87 – 1.96

~~Form · Eerste Divisie this season · since 11 Oct~~W2 D1 L0 · W2 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 7 v 6~~1 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Leo Victor win	16%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Robin Hood win	62%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Leo Victor or draw	38%	–	–
Leo Victor clean sheet	15%	–	–
Robin Hood clean sheet	43%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 11.7%

0123450 6.8 11.7 11.1 7.2 3.7 1 5.1 9.9 9.2 6.1 3.1 2 2.3 4.2 4.1 2.7 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Leo Victor down, Robin Hood across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 675 Eerste Divisie matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Eerste Divisie matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.60 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Leo Victor at home: 1.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Robin Hood away: 3.17 scored, 0.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.87 goals for Leo Victor, 1.96 for Robin Hood. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.60

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~7 of 10

~~Last meetings~~ROB 1–1 LEO · LEO 0–2 ROB · ROB 6–2 LEO · ROB 2–1 LEO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Eerste Divisie this season · since 11 Oct

LEO VICTOR

WDW4–0 · 0–0 · 2–1

ROBIN HOOD

WW5–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Leo Victor	3	+5	7
2	Robin Hood	2	+7	6
3	Inter Moengotapoe	2	+4	6
4	Notch	3	+3	4
5	Voorwaarts	3	+1	4
6	Transvaal	1	+1	3
7	Broki	2	−3	1
8	Flora	1	−1	0
9	Coronie Boys	1	−3	0
10	FC Inter Wanica	1	−4	0
11	PVV	3	−10	0