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Leo Victor v Notch
Leo VictorNotchEerste Divisie · THU 15 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassLeo Victor are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Leo Victor 46%, draw 26%, Notch 28%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 50%.
Pre-match prediction
Published 15 Oct 00:30 · locked at kick-off
Leo Victor win46%Notch win28%Kick-offTHU 15 OCT · 01:15
Match timeline
All events
Leo VictorMINNotchEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Leo Victor
Notch
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Leo Victor | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 4 | Notch | 1 | −1 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Leo Victor a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 69%. We are 23 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 42%, 46% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 69% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Victor win | 46% | 69% | −23 |
| Draw | 26% | 20% | +6 |
| Notch win | 28% | 11% | +17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 57% | −9 |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 46% | +4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 78% | −5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 37% | −10 |
| Leo Victor or draw | 72% | 89% | −17 |
| Leo Victor clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
| Notch clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
12 meetings since 2020Form · last six in Eerste Divisie
LEO VICTOR
NOTCH
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Robin Hood | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 2 | Leo Victor | 1 | +4 | 3 |
| 3 |  Inter Moengotapoe | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 4 | Notch | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 5 |  FC Inter Wanica | 1 | −4 | 0 |
| 6 |  PVV | 1 | −4 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.