Flora v Transvaal prediction · Eerste Divisie

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 03:28

Flora 0–1 Transvaal TRANSVAAL WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Transvaal win~~65%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.179

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Transvaal are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Flora 15%, draw 19%, Transvaal 65%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Flora v TransvaalBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Flora win15%

Draw19%

Transvaal win65%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 00:00

RoundGroup stage

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Flora

Transvaal

156Days since last match168

Last match: 15 May · Eerste Divisie (Suriname)

Last match: 2 May · Eerste Divisie (Suriname)

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · transvaal winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

65% The market–

Us65%

We make Transvaal a 65% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–2.3, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Flora v Transvaal~~1.00 – 2.31

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Flora win	15%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Transvaal win	65%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	63%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Flora or draw	35%	–	–
Flora clean sheet	11%	–	–
Transvaal clean sheet	38%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 9.6%

0123450 4.4 8.5 9.6 7.3 4.3 2.11 3.7 8.6 9.2 6.9 4.1 2 4.2 4.6 3.5 2.0 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Flora down, Transvaal across0–5 goals a side shown (96.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 669 Eerste Divisie matches up to 15 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Eerste Divisie matches have gone over 2.5 in 62.7% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2023 in every competition we cover, 3.86 goals a meeting; 6 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Flora at home: 1.00 scored, 3.00 conceded a game (last 6). Transvaal away: 1.67 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.00 goals for Flora, 2.31 for Transvaal. Most likely score 0–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~3.86

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 7

~~Both scored~~2 of 7

~~Last meetings~~FLO 0–4 TRA · TRA 2–4 FLO · FLO 1–2 TRA · FLO 0–2 TRA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Eerste Divisie this season

FLORA

No matches in our record yet.

TRANSVAAL

No matches in our record yet.

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Leo Victor	2	+4	4
2	Robin Hood	1	+4	3
3	Inter Moengotapoe	1	+1	3
4	Broki	1	0	1
5	Voorwaarts	1	0	1
6	Notch	2	−1	1
7	FC Inter Wanica	1	−4	0
8	PVV	1	−4	0