Flora v Leo Victor prediction · Eerste Divisie

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

FloraDrawLeo Victor

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 23:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Leo Victor 69%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Leo Victor are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Flora 14%, draw 17%, Leo Victor 69%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Flora v Leo VictorBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Flora win14%

Draw17%

Leo Victor win69%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 23:00

RoundGroup stage

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Flora

Leo Victor

11Days since last match10

Last match: 18 Oct · Eerste Divisie (Suriname)

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Leo Victor	3	+5	7
8	Flora	1	−1	0

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · leo victor winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

69% The market–

Us69%

We make Leo Victor a 69% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–2.6, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Flora v Leo Victor~~1.07 – 2.63

~~Form · Eerste Divisie this season · since 11 Oct~~W0 D0 L1 · W2 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 0 v 7~~8 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Flora win	14%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Leo Victor win	69%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
Flora or draw	31%	–	–
Flora clean sheet	8%	–	–
Leo Victor clean sheet	35%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.7%

0123450 3.0 6.6 8.4 7.1 4.8 2.71 2.8 7.3 8.7 7.3 4.8 2.62 3.9 4.7 3.9 2.5 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Flora down, Leo Victor across0–5 goals a side shown (93.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 675 Eerste Divisie matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Eerste Divisie matches have gone over 2.5 in 63.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2023 in every competition we cover, 2.86 goals a meeting; 4 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Flora at home: 0.67 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Leo Victor away: 1.50 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.07 goals for Flora, 2.63 for Leo Victor. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2023

~~Goals a meeting~~2.86

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 7

~~Both scored~~4 of 7

~~Last meetings~~FLO 1–3 LEO · LEO 2–1 FLO · FLO 1–4 LEO · LEO 1–0 FLO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Eerste Divisie this season · since 11 Oct

FLORA

L0–1

LEO VICTOR

WDW4–0 · 0–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Leo Victor	3	+5	7
2	Robin Hood	2	+7	6
3	Inter Moengotapoe	2	+4	6
4	Notch	3	+3	4
5	Voorwaarts	3	+1	4
6	Transvaal	1	+1	3
7	Broki	2	−3	1
8	Flora	1	−1	0
9	Coronie Boys	1	−3	0
10	FC Inter Wanica	1	−4	0
11	PVV	3	−10	0