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Melilla v Cantoria
Melilla
CantoriaTercera División RFEF - Group 9 · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Melilla win at 63%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Melilla was 63% before kick-off and our model makes it 63% now. 0–0 · 63–23–14
- 1′KICK-OFF Melilla v Cantoria
- 16′A goal for Melilla on 16′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 85–11–4
- 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Melilla 1–0 Cantoria
- 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Melilla win: 63% at kick-off, 85% now
- 17′We published Melilla at 63%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–11–4
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 85–12–3
- 45′HALF-TIME Melilla 1–0 Cantoria
- 46′A. Martinez Escudero scores for Melilla on 15′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 86–12–2
- 46′A red card for Cantoria on 29′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–0 · 86–12–2
- 46′🟥 RED CARD · 29' M. Quintero · Cantoria
- 46′SECOND HALF Melilla 1–0 Cantoria
- 69′Melilla score on 68′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 69′⚽ GOAL · 68' Melilla 2–0 Cantoria
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Melilla win: 63% at kick-off, 99% now
- 70′We published Melilla at 63%. Our model now makes it 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
- 76′We published Melilla at 63%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Melilla 2–0 Cantoria
- FTMelilla 2–0 Cantoria · Melilla win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Melilla are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Melilla 63%, draw 23%, Cantoria 14%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 44%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Melilla win63%
Cantoria win14%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 10:00
RoundGroup 9 · matchday 8
Match timeline
All events
MelillaMIN
CantoriaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Melilla
Cantoria
Last match: 18 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Last match: 18 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Melilla a 63% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melilla win | 63% | – | – |
| Draw | 23% | – | – |
| Cantoria win | 14% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 44% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | – | – |
| Melilla or draw | 86% | – | – |
| Melilla clean sheet | 48% | – | – |
| Cantoria clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 this season · since 12 Sept
MELILLA
CANTORIA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 7 | +8 | 18 |
| 2 | Almería II | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 7 | +8 | 15 |
| 4 | Motril | 7 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 | Marbelli | 7 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | UD San Pedro | 7 | −1 | 12 |
| 7 | Málaga II | 7 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 | Churriana Vega | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 10 | Granada II | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 | Atlético Porcuna | 7 | −6 | 10 |
| 12 | Alhaurino | 7 | −2 | 8 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 7 | −2 | 7 |
| 14 | Huétor Vega | 7 | −4 | 6 |
| 15 | Atletico de Marbella | 7 | −4 | 5 |
| 16 | Mancha Real | 7 | −6 | 5 |
| 17 | Cantoria | 7 | −8 | 3 |
| 18 | Malaga City | 7 | −13 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Almería II
Arenas Armilla
Motril
Marbelli
UD San Pedro
Málaga II
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
Churriana Vega
Granada II
Atlético Porcuna
Alhaurino
Torre del Mar
Huétor Vega
Atletico de Marbella
Mancha Real
Malaga City