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Marbelli v Alhaurino
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · SAT 10 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Marbelli win at 51%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Marbelli 51% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 52–28–21
- 1′KICK-OFF Marbelli v Alhaurino
- 3′Little has changed for our model: Marbelli 51% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 51–28–21
- 45′We said Marbelli at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–43–18
- 45′HALF-TIME Marbelli 0–0 Alhaurino
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Marbelli win: 51% at kick-off, 39% now
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Marbelli win: 51% at kick-off, 45% now
- 46′SECOND HALF Marbelli 0–0 Alhaurino
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Marbelli win: 51% at kick-off, 39% now
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Marbelli win: 51% at kick-off, 39% now
- 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Marbelli 1–0 Alhaurino
- 82′⚽ GOAL · 64' Marbelli 1–0 Alhaurino
- 85′⚽ GOAL · 64' Marbelli 1–0 Alhaurino
- FTFULL TIME Marbelli 0–2 Alhaurino
- FTMarbelli 0–2 Alhaurino · Marbelli win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 17:00
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Marbelli a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marbelli win | 51% | – | – |
| Draw | 29% | – | – |
| Alhaurino win | 20% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 40% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | – | – |
| Marbelli or draw | 80% | – | – |
| Marbelli clean sheet | 47% | – | – |
| Alhaurino clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2025Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
MARBELLI
ALHAURINO
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melilla | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Marbelli | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 3 |  Arenas Armilla | 5 | +4 | 11 |
| 4 |  Motril | 5 | +4 | 11 |
| 5 |  Málaga II | 5 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 |  Almería II | 5 | +6 | 10 |
| 7 |  UD San Pedro | 5 | −1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Granada II | 5 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Churriana Vega | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |  Atlético Porcuna | 5 | −8 | 6 |
| 11 |  Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 5 | −1 | 5 |
| 12 |  Huétor Vega | 5 | −2 | 5 |
| 13 |  Torre del Mar | 5 | −2 | 4 |
| 14 |  Atletico de Marbella | 5 | −3 | 4 |
| 15 | Alhaurino | 5 | −4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Cantoria | 5 | −3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Mancha Real | 5 | −5 | 2 |
| 18 |  Malaga City | 5 | −8 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.