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Mancha Real v Torre del Mar
Mancha RealTorre del MarTercera División RFEF - Group 9 · SUN 11 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said a draw at 34%.
- 1′1′ and it is 0–1: Torre del Mar have scored. 0–1 · 12–22–67
- 3′1′ and it is 0–1: Torre del Mar have scored. 0–1 · 11–22–67
- 8′Mancha Real find the net on 4′. 1–1. 1–1 · 33–34–33
- 13′Mancha Real find the net on 4′. 1–1. 1–1 · 32–36–32
- 18′A goal for Torre del Mar on 17′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 9–22–69
- 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Draw: 34% at kick-off, 22% now
- 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Draw: 34% at kick-off, 36% now
- 23′⚽ GOAL · 1' Mancha Real 1–2 Torre del Mar
- 23′⚽ GOAL · 4' Mancha Real 1–2 Torre del Mar
- 23′⚽ GOAL · 17' Mancha Real 1–2 Torre del Mar
- 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Draw: 34% at kick-off, 36% now
- 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Draw: 34% at kick-off, 22% now
- 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Draw: 34% at kick-off, 22% now
- 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Draw: 34% at kick-off, 36% now
- 25′A goal for Torre del Mar on 17′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 8–22–70
- 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Draw: 34% at kick-off, 22% now
- 33′We said the draw at 34%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 1–2 · 7–21–72
- 43′We said the draw at 34%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 20%. 1–2 · 6–20–74
- 45′That is 3, and we only asked for 1.8 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 5–20–75
- 45′HALF-TIME Mancha Real 1–2 Torre del Mar
- 46′SECOND HALF Mancha Real 1–2 Torre del Mar
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Draw: 34% at kick-off, 20% now
- 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Torre del Mar win is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Draw 20%)
- 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Draw: 34% at kick-off, 20% now
- 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Torre del Mar win is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Draw 20%)
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Draw: 34% at kick-off, 20% now
- 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Torre del Mar win is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Draw 20%)
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Draw: 34% at kick-off, 20% now
- 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Torre del Mar win is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Draw 20%)
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Draw: 34% at kick-off, 20% now
- 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Torre del Mar win is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Draw 20%)
- 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Draw: 34% at kick-off, 20% now
- 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Torre del Mar win is now our likeliest result at 74% (was Draw 20%)
- 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Mancha Real 1–3 Torre del Mar
- FTFULL TIME Mancha Real 1–3 Torre del Mar
- FTMancha Real 1–3 Torre del Mar · Draw: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.
The model’s prediction on this page stays free.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Mancha Real win33%Torre del Mar win34%Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 11:00
Match timeline
All events
Mancha RealMINTorre del MarEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Mancha Real
Torre del Mar
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Torre del Mar | 5 | −2 | 4 |
| 17 | Mancha Real | 5 | −5 | 2 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make the draw a 34% chance. The model expects 0.9–0.9, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mancha Real win | 33% | – | – |
| Draw | 34% | – | – |
| Torre del Mar win | 34% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 36% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 55% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 12% | – | – |
| Mancha Real or draw | 66% | – | – |
| Mancha Real clean sheet | 40% | – | – |
| Torre del Mar clean sheet | 41% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2023Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
MANCHA REAL
TORRE DEL MAR
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melilla | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |  Marbelli | 6 | +3 | 13 |
| 3 |  Arenas Armilla | 5 | +4 | 11 |
| 4 |  Motril | 5 | +4 | 11 |
| 5 |  Málaga II | 5 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 |  Almería II | 5 | +6 | 10 |
| 7 |  UD San Pedro | 5 | −1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Granada II | 5 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Alhaurino | 6 | −2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Churriana Vega | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 |  Atlético Porcuna | 5 | −8 | 6 |
| 12 |  Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 5 | −1 | 5 |
| 13 |  Huétor Vega | 5 | −2 | 5 |
| 14 | Torre del Mar | 5 | −2 | 4 |
| 15 |  Atletico de Marbella | 5 | −3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Cantoria | 5 | −3 | 3 |
| 17 | Mancha Real | 5 | −5 | 2 |
| 18 |  Malaga City | 5 | −8 | 0 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.