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Home › Football › Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 › Granada II v Almería II

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Granada II v Almería II

Granada II
0–1Full time
Almería II

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · SUN 18 OCT · Ciudad Deportiva del Granada

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 13:36
Granada II 0–1 Almería II ALMERÍA II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Almería II win43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.487

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Almería II win at 43%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Almería II 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 32–25–43
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Granada II v Almería II
  4. 6′Almería II score on 6′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 14–18–68
  5. 6′We said Almería II at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 68%. 0–1 · 14–18–68
  6. 6′⚽ GOAL · 6' Granada II 0–1 Almería II
  7. 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 6' Almería II win: 43% at kick-off, 68% now
  8. 23′We said Almería II at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 12–19–70
  9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.9 we expected. 0–1 · 11–19–70
  10. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Almería II win: 43% at kick-off, 73% now
  11. 45′HALF-TIME Granada II 0–1 Almería II
  12. 46′5′: P. Montero on the scoresheet for Almería II, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 8–20–73
  13. 46′SECOND HALF Granada II 0–1 Almería II
  14. 53′We said Almería II at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 6–19–75
  15. 67′We said Almería II at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
  16. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Almería II win: 43% at kick-off, 83% now
  17. 76′We said Almería II at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 2–13–85
  18. 82′We said Almería II at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
  19. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Almería II win: 43% at kick-off, 93% now
  20. 88′We said Almería II at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
  21. FTFULL TIME Granada II 0–1 Almería II
  22. FTGranada II 0–1 Almería II · Almería II win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Almería II are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Granada II 32%, draw 25%, Almería II 43%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Granada II v Almería IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Granada II win32%
Draw25%
Almería II win43%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 11:00

RoundGroup 9 · matchday 7

VenueCiudad Deportiva del Granada

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Granada II

Almería II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last match: 11 Oct · Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Almería II6+713
8Granada II6+410

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · almería ii winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
43% The market–
Us43%

We make Almería II a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Granada II v Almería II1.31 – 1.60
Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 this season · since 6 SeptW3 D1 L2 · W4 D1 L1
Table places · points 10 v 138 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Granada II win32%––
Draw25%––
Almería II win43%––
Over 2.5 goals55%––
Both teams to score57%––
Over 1.5 goals78%––
Over 3.5 goals33%––
Granada II or draw57%––
Granada II clean sheet22%––
Almería II clean sheet28%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.5%
0123450 6.5 8.2 6.8 3.8 1 7.0 11.5 8.4 4.5 2 5.0 7.2 5.4 2.9 3 2.3 3.3 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Granada II down, Almería II across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored2 of 2
Last meetingsALM 3–1 GRA · GRA 1–1 ALM

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 this season · since 6 Sept

GRANADA II

DWLWLW0–0 · 4–0 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 2–1

ALMERÍA II

WWLWDW2–1 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 4–0 · 1–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Melilla6+1018
2Arenas Armilla6+814
3Almería II6+713
4Marbelli6+313
5Motril6+412
6Ciudad de Torredonjimeno7+311
7Málaga II6+610
8Granada II6+410
9Churriana Vega6+39
10UD San Pedro6−39
11Torre del Mar7−27
12Alhaurino6−27
13Atlético Porcuna6−87
14Huétor Vega6−45
15Atletico de Marbella6−44
16Cantoria6−63
17Mancha Real6−72
18Malaga City6−120

The competition's standings before kick-off.