Atlético Porcuna v Melilla

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Melilla win at 37%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Melilla was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 36–27–37
3. 1′KICK-OFF Atlético Porcuna v Melilla
4. 32′Atlético Porcuna score on 32′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 66–22–12
5. 32′We said Melilla at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 1–0 · 66–22–12
6. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Atlético Porcuna 1–0 Melilla
7. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Melilla win: 37% at kick-off, 12% now
8. 32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Atlético Porcuna win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Melilla win 12%)
9. 33′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 67–22–12
10. 44′We said Melilla at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 69–22–9
11. 45′31′: Pegalajar on the scoresheet for Atlético Porcuna, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 69–22–9
12. 45′HALF-TIME Atlético Porcuna 1–0 Melilla
13. 46′SECOND HALF Atlético Porcuna 1–0 Melilla
14. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' Melilla win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
15. 65′We said Melilla at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–0 · 77–19–4
16. 78′Atlético Porcuna find the net on 78′. 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
17. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' Atlético Porcuna 2–0 Melilla
18. FTFULL TIME Atlético Porcuna 2–0 Melilla
19. FTAtlético Porcuna 2–0 Melilla · Melilla win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.