Atletico de Marbella v Huétor Vega

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Atletico de Marbella win at 39%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Atletico de Marbella 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–29–33
3. 1′KICK-OFF Atletico de Marbella v Huétor Vega
4. 4′A goal for Huétor Vega on 3′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 17–21–62
5. 4′We said Atletico de Marbella at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 17%. 0–1 · 17–21–62
6. 4′⚽ GOAL · 3' Atletico de Marbella 0–1 Huétor Vega
7. 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 4' Atletico de Marbella win: 39% at kick-off, 17% now
8. 4′THE CALL SWINGS · 4' Huétor Vega win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Atletico de Marbella win 17%)
9. 13′Atletico de Marbella score on 13′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 37–31–32
10. 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Atletico de Marbella 1–1 Huétor Vega
11. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Atletico de Marbella win: 39% at kick-off, 37% now
12. 13′THE CALL SWINGS · 13' Atletico de Marbella win is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Huétor Vega win 32%)
13. 36′THE CALL SWINGS · 36' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Atletico de Marbella win 33%)
14. 45′HALF-TIME Atletico de Marbella 1–1 Huétor Vega
15. 46′SECOND HALF Atletico de Marbella 1–1 Huétor Vega
16. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Atletico de Marbella win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
17. 55′We said Atletico de Marbella at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 1–1 · 27–48–24
18. 56′Atletico de Marbella find the net on 56′. 2–1. 2–1 · 76–19–5
19. 56′We said Atletico de Marbella at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 2–1 · 76–19–5
20. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Atletico de Marbella 2–1 Huétor Vega
21. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Atletico de Marbella win: 39% at kick-off, 76% now
22. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Atletico de Marbella win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 19%)
23. 57′3 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 76–19–5
24. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Atletico de Marbella win: 39% at kick-off, 79% now
25. 65′We said Atletico de Marbella at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
26. 72′A goal for Huétor Vega on 71′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 18–65–16
27. 72′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 18–65–16
28. 72′⚽ GOAL · 71' Atletico de Marbella 2–2 Huétor Vega
29. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Atletico de Marbella win: 39% at kick-off, 18% now
30. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Draw is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Atletico de Marbella win 18%)
31. 77′We said Atletico de Marbella at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 14–73–13
32. 84′We said Atletico de Marbella at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 2–2 · 8–86–7
33. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Atletico de Marbella win: 39% at kick-off, 8% now
34. 90′We said Atletico de Marbella at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–92–4
35. FTFULL TIME Atletico de Marbella 2–2 Huétor Vega
36. FTAtletico de Marbella 2–2 Huétor Vega · Atletico de Marbella win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.