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Villaralbo v Turégano

Villaralbo
2–2Full time
Turégano

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:32
Villaralbo 2–2 Turégano VILLARALBO WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Villaralbo win49%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.818

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 10 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Villaralbo win at 49%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Villaralbo was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–28–23
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Villaralbo v Turégano
  4. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Villaralbo 1–0 Turégano
  5. 23′Villaralbo find the net on 10′. 1–0. 1–0 · 78–16–6
  6. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Villaralbo win: 49% at kick-off, 78% now
  7. 45′HALF-TIME Villaralbo 1–0 Turégano
  8. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Villaralbo win: 49% at kick-off, 78% now
  9. 46′SECOND HALF Villaralbo 1–0 Turégano
  10. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Villaralbo 1–1 Turégano
  11. 70′⚽ GOAL · 69' Villaralbo 2–1 Turégano
  12. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Villaralbo 2–2 Turégano
  13. FTFULL TIME Villaralbo 2–2 Turégano
  14. FTVillaralbo 2–2 Turégano · Villaralbo win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Villaralbo win49%
Draw28%
Turégano win23%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 16:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · villaralbo winPublished 10 Oct 16:17
49% The market–
Us49%

We make Villaralbo a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Villaralbo win49%––
Draw28%––
Turégano win23%––
Over 2.5 goals36%––
Both teams to score40%––
Over 1.5 goals63%––
Over 3.5 goals17%––
Villaralbo or draw77%––
Villaralbo clean sheet45%––
Turégano clean sheet27%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.8%
0123450 11.8 9.8 3.9 1 15.8 12.1 5.0 2 10.3 8.2 3.3 3 4.7 3.7 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Villaralbo down, Turégano across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

VILLARALBO

LLLDWD2–4 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 4–0 · 2–2

TURÉGANO

LLLDD1–2 · 1–3 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Burgos Promesas5+813
2UD Santa Marta5+412
3Atlético Mansillés4+410
4Bembibre5+310
5Cristo Atlético5+310
6Cultural Leonesa II5+210
7La Virgen del Camino5+29
8Arandina5+18
9Almazán5+17
10Palencia CF5+17
11Calasanz de Soria5−27
12Villaralbo5+25
13Salamanca II5−54
14Guijuelo4−13
15Turégano5−42
16Unionistas II5−52
17Mirandés II5−51
18Colegios Diocesanos5−91

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.