Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1
Back

Home › Football › Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 › Unionistas II v Bembibre

Spain flag

Unionistas II v Bembibre

Unionistas II
1–2Full time
Bembibre

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 · SAT 10 OCT · Las Pistas del Helmantico

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33
Unionistas II 1–2 Bembibre UNIONISTAS II WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Unionistas II win43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.738

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 10 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Unionistas II win at 43%.
  2. 3′4′ and it is 0–0: Unionistas II have scored. 0–0 · 42–28–30
  3. 3′KICK-OFF Unionistas II v Bembibre
  4. 7′⚽ GOAL · 4' Unionistas II 1–0 Bembibre
  5. 25′We said Unionistas II at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 1–0 · 72–19–9
  6. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Unionistas II win: 43% at kick-off, 72% now
  7. 45′We said Unionistas II at 43% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–19–6
  8. 45′HALF-TIME Unionistas II 1–0 Bembibre
  9. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Unionistas II win: 43% at kick-off, 75% now
  10. 47′SECOND HALF Unionistas II 1–0 Bembibre
  11. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Unionistas II 1–1 Bembibre
  12. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Unionistas II 1–2 Bembibre
  13. 90′🟥 RED CARD · 94' Bembibre
  14. FTFULL TIME Unionistas II 1–2 Bembibre
  15. FTUnionistas II 1–2 Bembibre · Unionistas II win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Unionistas II win43%
Draw27%
Bembibre win30%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

Venue · Las Pistas del Helmantico

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · unionistas ii winPublished 10 Oct 15:19
43% The market–
Us43%

We make Unionistas II a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Unionistas II win43%––
Draw27%––
Bembibre win30%––
Over 2.5 goals43%––
Both teams to score48%––
Over 1.5 goals69%––
Over 3.5 goals22%––
Unionistas II or draw70%––
Unionistas II clean sheet35%––
Bembibre clean sheet27%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.4%
0123450 9.1 10.0 5.2 1 12.3 12.4 6.8 2.5 2 8.0 8.4 4.5 3 3.6 3.8 2.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Unionistas II down, Bembibre across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsBEM 0–0 UNI · UNI 3–2 BEM

Form · last six in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

UNIONISTAS II

WLDLDL1–0 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 0–0 · 0–3

BEMBIBRE

LWDLWW1–4 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Burgos Promesas5+813
2UD Santa Marta5+412
3Atlético Mansillés4+410
4Bembibre5+310
5Cristo Atlético5+310
6Cultural Leonesa II5+210
7La Virgen del Camino5+29
8Arandina5+18
9Almazán5+17
10Palencia CF5+17
11Calasanz de Soria5−27
12Villaralbo5+25
13Salamanca II5−54
14Guijuelo4−13
15Turégano5−42
16Unionistas II5−52
17Mirandés II5−51
18Colegios Diocesanos5−91

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.